What Is Eonia and Why Is It Worrying Traders?: QuickTake Q&A
(Bloomberg) -- Two sudden spikes in the interest rate for overnight loans between European banks, known as Eonia, got markets fretting and speculating about the reasons for the moves. Markets abhor uncertainty, particularly when the possible explanations include some scary scenarios. Some of that anxiety eased on Friday, as the benchmark interest rate moved back toward more normal range.
1. What exactly is Eonia?
It's the weighted average of the overnight cost of lending by euro-area banks. Eonia is computed by the European Money Markets Institute, which is also responsible for the more widely known Euribor -- the rate at which prime European banks lend to one another over a longer term. As EMMI defines it, Eonia is a weighted average of all overnight unsecured lending transactions in the interbank market undertaken in the European Union and European Free Trade Association countries. Eonia is based on actual transactions and Euribor is based on submissions by the banks.
2. What happened?
There was an unexpected jump of 6.1 basis points on Wednesday and another spike of 6 basis points on Thursday, lifting Eonia to -0.241 percent. A move on that scale would normally be justified only by a shift in the European Central Bank's benchmark rate or by funding stress among the banks. In other words, something that made banks far more reluctant to lend to one another, such as one of them having trouble meeting its commitments.
3. How did markets react?
There was heavy selling of futures contracts in the money markets, the home to financial instruments with high liquidity and short maturities. A record number of December 2017 three-month Euribor futures contracts changed hands on Thursday. On Friday, Eonia fell 5 basis points, erasing most of Thursday's increase.
4. What do people think happened?
The sudden spike may have been the result of excess liquidity injected into the market by National Bank of Greece SA, Greece's second-biggest lender. Other theories that have been floated involve a possible year-end funding squeeze at some lenders, or demand related to Greece's just-concluded bond swap. The initial jump spurred speculation that there was an error in the calculation, though EMMI quickly ruled that out. While the rate at which Eonia is fixed tends to rise at the end of a month or year, that typically happens only on the last trading day. Furthermore, this week's jumps were much more pronounced than the usual end-of-month spikes.
The Reference Shelf
- EMMI's website defines Eonia.
- Traders scurry for cover.
- Bloomberg Gadfly's Marcus Ashworth says it's probably a technical glitch.
--With assistance from Stephen Spratt and Edward Bolingbroke
To contact the reporter on this story: Grant Clark in Singapore at gclark@bloomberg.net.
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Grant Clark at gclark@bloomberg.net, Ven Ram
©2017 Bloomberg L.P.
-
Navigating Friction And Energy Realities: An Analysis Of Marco Rubio's October Visit To India
Occurring at a critical juncture marked by stalled trade negotiations and escalating geopolitical pressures over global energy supplies, the visit offers a profound window into modern US-India relations.
-
India Exports Capital. Why Not Export Trusteeship?
The big question, then, is whether India can build an institution that global borrowers, investors, banks, and lawyers can trust, even without an Indian connection.
-
France's Economy & Politics Are In Crisis | The Reason Why
Let's look at how the French economy and politics evolved under Nicolas Sarkozy, Franois Hollande and Emmanuel Macron.
-
You May Inherit The Business. You Must Earn Its Credibility.
Succession tests the founder's ability to share authority as much as it tests the next generation's readiness to assume it.
-
Signing Deals Is One Thing; Making Them Work Is Another | The Week In Whys
Sometimes, things don't turn out as planned. Indian companies have lost some bids to rivals, some projects won't produce until 2030.
-
FOMC Wall, PERM Suspension, Hospital Stocks | Talking Points This Week
A PERM suspension would directly affect green-card sponsorship rather than H-1B visas, so the near-term earnings impact could remain relatively limited. The key question is whether this marks a new phase in US scrutiny of Indian IT.
-
Everything, Everywhere, All At Once: Dalal Street's Week To Forget | Joining The Dots
Visa curbs, a Starlink spat and cancer drug caps: what connects this week's shocks for Indian markets
-
India Is Going Abroad For Critical Minerals. But It May Take Years To Pay Off | The Reason Why
Although India's steps are in the right direction, they remain modest compared with India's growing dependence.
-
When Everyone Has AI, What Gives You An Edge?
India's young workforce is entering an uncertain world of work where powerful AI tools are becoming widely accessible. The advantage will belong to those who combine deep expertise with digital fluency, and the distinctly human capabilities that technology cannot manufacture.
-
Wrong Labels, High Pesticide Residues Holding Back Agri Exports | The Reason Why
India needs stronger domestic food-safety and labelling standards, with best practices becoming part of everyday business for farmers, traders and food companies.