Oil Rebounds After Slide, Not Far From Decade Highs
Global crude oil prices rebounded early on Friday after sliding during a volatile previous session, having initially soared to multi-decade highs on Thursday as the escalation in the Russia-Ukraine war raised concerns of runaway inflation.
Oil markets were volatile on supply disruptions due to the sanctions on Russia in the previous session, with Russian exports at 4 to 5 million barrels per day more than any other nation other than Saudi Arabia.Â
The international benchmark for oil - Brent crude futures, rose to within 16 cents of $120 a barrel - highest since 2012, before falling to settle at around $110, on hopes the United States and Iran will agree soon to a nuclear deal that could add output to a badly undersupplied market.
But Brent crude oil futures rebounded to gain over 1.5 per cent to $112 early on Thursday as supply concerns still and on expectations Russia's war in Ukraine could hit the global economy from higher prices to dampened spending and investment.
Analysts also said an Iran deal would not replace Russia's disruptions.
Markets are volatile, leading investors to try to figure out a lot of moving parts "in one fell swoop," Jeff Mortimer, director of investment strategy at BNY Mellon Wealth Management, told Reuters.
Commodities' prices have also tracked higher oil prices. Everything from coal to natural gas and aluminium surging as sanctions on Russia following its invasion of Ukraine start to distort supply.
"Russia was the second-largest crude producer globally in 2020...In 2020, Russia was also the third-largest aluminium producer...and the third-largest nickel producer...in the world," noted analysts at Motilal Oswal Institutional Equities.
"We believe sanctions on Russia will impact the prices of aluminium, nickel, steel, thermal coal, and PCI coal positively. In addition, it will lead to cost escalations because of alternative sourcing, delays in establishing new sources, delays in payments and consequent deferrals in shipment releases, among others," they added.
Asian stock markets suffered heavy losses, while gold prices jumped on the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Tracking a sell-off in global equity markets, Indian shares fell sharply on Friday, as the escalating Ukraine crisis has stoked inflation and growth fears.
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