Disappointing Swedish Production Data Points to Weak GDP Growth
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Swedish private-sector production unexpectedly slowed in March, adding to a slew of data pointing to a poor first quarter for Scandinavia's biggest economy.
According to Statistics Sweden, production was up an annual 1.1 percent, compared with a revised reading of 2.1 percent in February. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg had expected an annual increase of 1.8 percent.
Key Insights
- A breakdown of the data showed that production dropped an annual 1.3 percent in industry and rose 0.3 percent in the services sector. A majority of the industrial subsectors presented negative development on a monthly basis, in seasonally adjusted terms.
- Among the industrial subsectors, the largest decrease was in the industry for motor vehicles, down 21.3 percent compared with February.
- Tuesday's data follows last week's decline in manufacturing PMI for April.
- The Swedish krona declined to its lowest level in a decade against the euro on Monday amid renewed anxiety about a global trade war and concern that the slowdown in the Scandinavian economy is deepening.
What Economists Say
- The production value and orders were “weaker than expected,” said Jesper Petersen at Danske Bank, adding that the data is negative for Sweden's first quarter outlook
- Oscar Andersson at Swedbank said that the 1.1 percent annual rate indicates a “leveling off” and that negative industrial orders reading is suggesting a slowdown ahead.
Get More
- For more details, see this table
To contact the reporter on this story: Rafaela Lindeberg in Stockholm at rlindeberg@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Jonas Bergman at jbergman@bloomberg.net, Nick Rigillo
©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
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