BOJ Takes the Fight to Bond Traders With Surprise Purchase
(Bloomberg) -- The Bank of Japan is showing just what it means by being flexible with bond purchases.
The central bank unexpectedly offered to buy 400 billion yen ($3.6 billion) of five-to-10 year bonds on Thursday to stem a selloff that saw the 10-year yield touch an 18-month high of 0.145 percent earlier in the day. Traders have been testing the limits of the BOJ's patience since it said Tuesday it would allow the yield to go as high as 0.2 percent.
The operation was all the more surprising as the BOJ has said it would avoid debt purchases on the day that the government sells securities of the same maturity. It also marked a shift away from the central bank's usual strategy of conducting a fixed-rate unlimited bond-buying operation. A sale of 10-year bonds auction earlier Thursday drew a tepid response from investors.
“The BOJ needed to slow the pace of advance in the 10-year yield, but probably wanted to wait until it reached 0.2 percent to step in with a fixed-rate operation,” says Takenobu Nakashima, senior rates strategist at Nomura Securities Co. in Tokyo. “The move suggests more similar operations may come.”
Governor Haruhiko Kuroda's tolerance for wider fluctuations in the yield has shattered the calm in Japan's market, with 10-year government debt futures sliding by the most in almost two years on Wednesday -- a move that prompted an emergency margin call from the clearing house. Repercussions are being felt far beyond Japan's shores, with yields in the U.S. and Germany rising.
‘Very Flexibly'
The BOJ accepted 400.3 billion yen of bids at Thursday's operation, after having received 1.27 trillion yen in total, it said in a statement.
Japan's 10-year yield reversed its advance and was down 0.5 basis point at 0.115 percent as of 4:50 p.m. in Tokyo. It climbed six basis points on Wednesday.
READ: BOJ Says Acted to Meet Target of Keeping The Yield Around Zero Percent
Even so, analysts said that the market will be keen to push toward the 0.2 percent mark. That means the BOJ may be forced to conduct a fixed-rate operation, adding to the three it held in the week before its policy decision on July 31.
“The market will want to test the Bank of Japan again to see if the benchmark 10-year bond yield can rise to 0.2 percent,” said Hidenori Suezawa, chief bond strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities Inc. in Tokyo. “The BOJ acted this way today to let the market know it can move very flexibly.”
The immediate focus shifts to the central bank's regular bond-purchase operation on Friday, where it is scheduled to buy debt with maturities of five-to-10 years, 10-to-25 years and that due in more than 25 years.
The BOJ has been conducting “stealth tapering” by slowly cutting bond purchases over time. It added slightly less than 50 trillion yen worth of government debt to its balance sheet in the year through March, much lower than its publicly-stated target of expanding the monetary base by 80 trillion yen annually.
“Today's operation leaves a question mark on the central bank's communication with the market,” said Toru Suehiro, senior market economist at Mizuho Securities Co. in Tokyo. “The BOJ is taking too much risk,” as buying bonds on the day of an auction is usually seen as problematic, he said.
--With assistance from Matt Turner and Masaki Kondo.
To contact the reporters on this story: Chikako Mogi in Tokyo at cmogi@bloomberg.net;Chikafumi Hodo in Tokyo at chodo@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Tan Hwee Ann at hatan@bloomberg.net, Shikhar Balwani
©2018 Bloomberg L.P.
-
A New Samvat Wishlist: Inclusive Prosperity And Human Development
India has strengthened its economic foundations through infrastructure, digital access and enterprise. Its next growth chapter must deepen productivity, create better livelihoods and widen participation in prosperity.
-
Love, Sex Aur Dhokha: The Audacious Plot To Spy On Jensen Huang
A Taipei dinner, a Singapore chip buyer and a suspected Chinese asset: inside the alleged spy operation that got close to NVIDIA's Jensen Huang.
-
Ten Things I Learnt This Samvat
Patience can be a trap. Cheap stocks can stay cheap. Leverage can wipe you out. What did Samvat 2082 teach us? Niraj Shah writes on 10 lessons from the year gone by.
-
Talking Points This Week: Tech Nerves, FII Buying, And A Faraway Banking Shock
The global markets are not shining this Diwali. The exception in the large markets is, India.
-
Midterm Rally Lasted A Day. The Hard Reality Of A Divided US May Last Two Years | Opinion
Between a contested AI boom, a debt ceiling that arrives in 2027 and a president with every incentive to act alone, the next two years may prove more volatile than the first day's rally suggests.
-
Blue Wave Will Derail the AI Trade but Won't Dismantle the AI Era | Unhedged Position
The Democrats' sweep of the US Congress will see politics collide with economic forces both over the long and short term.
-
It's Time To Take The GST Council's Bet On Trust Global
Payment records can prove India's services exports, and clear, proportionate rules can bring foreign digital sellers into the tax net.
-
Opinion | India at 38: From Innovation Overperformer to Innovation Powerhouse
India now has 453 VC-backed deep science startups, 18 of them late-stage, after 117 percent growth since 2020. Laurus Labs, at USD 9.3 billion, is the most valuable deep science company in any middle-income economy outside China.
-
Navigating Energy Crossroads: S Jaishankar's Call For Diversified Supply Chains At G20 Ministerial Meeting
As geopolitical fault lines continue to test maritime trade routes and commodity flows, Jaishankar's message remains pertinent: true economic resilience requires open markets, protected transit lines, and a genuine commitment to multilateral cooperation rather than coercion.