Asian Shares Firm After Sound US, China Data
Tokyo: Asian shares held firm in early Monday trade after US jobs data pointed to solid economic growth, while China's export performance showed more resilience than some had expected. US employers added 214,000 jobs in October, slightly below economists' median forecast of 231,000, but logging the ninth consecutive month of gains of more than 200,000, the longest stretch since 1994.
Unemployment fell to a six-year low of 5.8 per cent, but that did not improve wage growth, with average hourly earnings rising a slim 0.1 per cent, falling short of a projected 0.2 per cent gain.
"It was a familiar combination. Rising payrolls, a falling jobless rate and stagnant wages. All this means is that the US economy is moderately recovering, and no major shift in the Fed's policy outlook, which should reduce market volatility," Tohru Yamamoto, chief fixed income strategist at Daiwa Securities, said in a report.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.3 per cent. Japan's Nikkei, however, slipped as the yen rebounded on profit-taking in the dollar following the US payroll data.
US share prices ended flat on Friday following the payrolls data as some investors took some money off the table after the market's rally to record highs.
The US dollar also stepped back from a four-year peak against a basket of currencies. The dollar index stood at 87.539, following a 0.4 per cent fall on Friday as it retreated from 88.190 - a high not seen since June 2010.
As the dollar slipped, the euro fetched $1.2460, off a two-year low of $1.2358 hit on Friday.
The yen traded at 114.54 to the dollar, about one percentage point above seven-year low of 115.60 per dollar hit on Friday.
The dollar's fall lifted the battered gold price from 4 1/2-year lows. Gold traded at $1,170.15 per ounce, above Friday's low of $1,131.85.
Commodity currencies also won something of a reprieve, with the Australian dollar popping back above 86 US cents from a four-year low of $0.8540.
Also helping underpin commodity currencies, data out of China on Saturday showed export growth did not slow as much as feared.
"Overall, the data painted a similar macro picture as in previous months: Robust export growth led by the US and ASEAN demand, and depressed imports driven by falling commodity prices and soft domestic demand," said Jian Chang, an analyst at Barclays.
Exports grew 11.6 per cent in October, slowing from a 15.3 per cent jump in September but beating expectations of a 10.6 per cent rise. Imports were weaker than expected.
But the official Shanghai Securities News said on Monday the above-forecast export growth and heavy trade surplus in October showed signs of manipulation as well as inflows of speculative hot money, quoting economists.
The next focus is China inflation data due later in the day. China's annual inflation is seen at 1.6 per cent in October, steady from the previous month, but way below the official target of 3.5 per cent.
Copyright: Thomson Reuters 2014
-
High US Salaries, No Green Card Certainty: The Financial Calculation Facing Indian H-1B Families
The suspension of PERM processing at eight technology employers does not cancel existing H-1B visas. What it does is force a question many Indian families have been avoiding: is the US salary worth tying your career and family plans to one employer?
-
Unhedged Position: Can India See An Indonesia-Style Time Correction?
The Nifty is trading below levels it first clocked in 2024. Is there, then, as I have suggested in the headline, potential that the current time correction drags on painfully for the next three-five, even ten years?
-
Navigating Friction And Energy Realities: An Analysis Of Marco Rubio's October Visit To India
Occurring at a critical juncture marked by stalled trade negotiations and escalating geopolitical pressures over global energy supplies, the visit offers a profound window into modern US-India relations.
-
India Exports Capital. Why Not Export Trusteeship?
The big question, then, is whether India can build an institution that global borrowers, investors, banks, and lawyers can trust, even without an Indian connection.
-
France's Economy & Politics Are In Crisis | The Reason Why
Let's look at how the French economy and politics evolved under Nicolas Sarkozy, Franois Hollande and Emmanuel Macron.
-
You May Inherit The Business. You Must Earn Its Credibility.
Succession tests the founder's ability to share authority as much as it tests the next generation's readiness to assume it.
-
Signing Deals Is One Thing; Making Them Work Is Another | The Week In Whys
Sometimes, things don't turn out as planned. Indian companies have lost some bids to rivals, some projects won't produce until 2030.
-
FOMC Wall, PERM Suspension, Hospital Stocks | Talking Points This Week
A PERM suspension would directly affect green-card sponsorship rather than H-1B visas, so the near-term earnings impact could remain relatively limited. The key question is whether this marks a new phase in US scrutiny of Indian IT.
-
Everything, Everywhere, All At Once: Dalal Street's Week To Forget | Joining The Dots
Visa curbs, a Starlink spat and cancer drug caps: what connects this week's shocks for Indian markets
-
India Is Going Abroad For Critical Minerals. But It May Take Years To Pay Off | The Reason Why
Although India's steps are in the right direction, they remain modest compared with India's growing dependence.