Here's a Roundup From Economists on Norway's Regional Network
(Bloomberg) -- Norges Bank regional network report showed companies are the most upbeat on production since the end of 2012 as the oil crisis abates.
Policy makers meet next week to decide on interest rates again. They have flagged a potential rate hike in December of this year. The krone rose 0.2 percent to 9.63 per euro as of 12:04 p.m. in Oslo.
Danske Bank
- The strong report “confirms” a rate hike in the second half
- Says survey implies that domestic growth will add some upside to Norges Bank rate path next week, increasing the probability of a September hike even if our base case remains December
- Says release underpins a bullish view on the krone, as the higher and broader based growth outlook allows for the krone to erase some of the losses that fundamentally have been required over past years
DNB
- Report was stronger than we had expected, and will probably also contribute to an upward adjustment of Norges Bank's growth projections
- Says indicates an annualized growth rate of about 2.8% the next six months, higher than Norges Bank's 2018 growth projection of 2.3%
- Says expect Norges Bank to raise rates in December, but see a risk that the hike may come earlier
SEB
- Report suggests another move in a hawkish direction at the upcoming March 15 decision, cementing a first rate hike later this year
- Says details were positive with uncertainties relating to the housing market seem to have abated somewhat as the construction sector lifted its output expectations, and oil-related sectors reported positive output growth for the first time since 2014 while non-oil exports enjoyed solid demand from abroad
- Says contacts report a further increase in capacity constraints signaling that capacity utilization is rising faster than assumed by Norges Bank
- We reiterate our expectations of a December hike
Nordea
- Today's survey points to somewhat stronger growth in production than expected by Norges Bank, but significantly faster growth in employment
- Taken together with lower than expected unemployment this argues for a higher rate path at the March meeting.
- But remember Friday's inflation figure could change that
Handelsbanken
- The outlook is significantly stronger than expected by Norges Bank, and the revised growth prospects will lift the bank's assessment of the output gap
- Says in isolation, this will also lift Norges Bank's key policy rate path
To contact the reporter on this story: Jonas Cho Walsgard in Oslo at jchowalsgard@bloomberg.net.
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Jonas Bergman at jbergman@bloomberg.net.
©2018 Bloomberg L.P.
-
Indians Stay With Family, Not In Hotels | The Reason Why
India still lacks enough clean, reliable and affordable hotels for budget-conscious travellers.
-
The Economic Imperative: Analysing The Material Driving Force Behind India-Canada Strategic Reset
This economic complementarity is further reinforced by deep institutional investment ties and talent mobility, which form the bedrock of the bilateral framework.
-
Medicine Pricing: Where Must Profit Stop?
India must confront excessive margins, hidden incentives and regulatory gaps that threaten the integrity of medicine.
-
Why Amazon And Flipkart Are Struggling To Beat Meesho In India's Smaller Cities
With 274 million users and lowest-cost logistics, Meesho is defending its value commerce crown against giants like Amazon and Flipkart.
-
High US Salaries, No Green Card Certainty: The Financial Calculation Facing Indian H-1B Families
The suspension of PERM processing at eight technology employers does not cancel existing H-1B visas. What it does is force a question many Indian families have been avoiding: is the US salary worth tying your career and family plans to one employer?
-
Swiggy vs Eternal: Food Delivery's Two Rivals Are No Longer In The Same Race
Eternal is building a private AI assistant, dark.ai. Swiggy is still working out how to make Instamart pay, with an operating loss of Rs 895 crore in the July-September quarter while Blinkit stayed profitable.
-
Where You Live Shapes How You Get To Work | The Reason Why
Two-wheelers are the most popular way to get to work in India, accounting for nearly 43% of workplace commutes.
-
Unhedged Position: Can India See An Indonesia-Style Time Correction?
The Nifty is trading below levels it first clocked in 2024. Is there, then, as I have suggested in the headline, potential that the current time correction drags on painfully for the next three-five, even ten years?
-
Navigating Friction And Energy Realities: An Analysis Of Marco Rubio's October Visit To India
Occurring at a critical juncture marked by stalled trade negotiations and escalating geopolitical pressures over global energy supplies, the visit offers a profound window into modern US-India relations.
-
India Exports Capital. Why Not Export Trusteeship?
The big question, then, is whether India can build an institution that global borrowers, investors, banks, and lawyers can trust, even without an Indian connection.