China Stabilizes Bond Market With Symbolic Interest Rate Cut
(Bloomberg) -- China's central bank has finally helped put the brakes on the downward spiral in government debt.
While Tuesday's 5 basis-point reduction in the cost of one-year loans to banks was largely symbolic, it was the first such move since 2016. That was enough to soothe nerves in a market that's been walloped by the prospect of tighter liquidity in the financial system.
The relief was apparent: China's benchmark 10-year yield dropped the most since August, while bond futures rose as much as 0.41%. The cost on 12-month interest rate swaps fell the most in a month. But skeptics say the reduction doesn't represent a direct cut in borrowing costs to the economy, showing Beijing is sticking to its prudent approach to stimulus amid a spike in inflation.
“It's only a little bit of comfort,” said Hao Zhou, senior emerging markets economist at Commerzbank AG. “It doesn't mean the party will resume. Bond traders will be still struggling to find a concrete answer between monetary policy actions and the inflation dynamics.”
The People's Bank of China on Tuesday lent 400 billion yuan ($57 billion) with its medium-term lending facility and lowered the interest rate on the loans to 3.25% from 3.3%, according to a statement. The injection replaced 403.5 billion yuan of loans that mature.
“It was a surprise but I think it's more symbolic in nature,” said Qin Han, Shanghai-based chief fixed income analyst at Guotai Junan Securities Co., referring to the rate cut. “I don't think today's move will accelerate the pace of easing.”
©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
With assistance from Bloomberg
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