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This Article is From Jul 05, 2016

Silver Tops $21 for 1st Time Since 2014 as Investors Seek Haven

Silver Tops $21 for 1st Time Since 2014 as Investors Seek Haven

(Bloomberg) -- Silver vaulted above $21 for the first time in two years and gold advanced for a fourth day as investors sought precious metals as a haven after the U.K.'s vote to leave the European Union. Shares of silver miner Fresnillo Plc surged.

Spot silver jumped as much as 7 percent to $21.1377 an ounce and traded at $20.1909 by 10:17 a.m. in London, according to Bloomberg generic pricing. Gold rose as much as 1.2 percent to $1,357.63 an ounce, near a two-year high, before trading at $1,349.75.

Bullion has benefited as turbulence in financial markets after the Brexit vote added to speculation that central banks will maintain stimulus, with interest rates in the U.S. set to remain low. Holdings in silver-backed exchange traded funds expanded to a record last month, and assets in gold ETFs are now at the highest since August 2013.

Investors are buying more silver than gold. Daniel Marburger, a CoinInvest.com director, said that 90 percent of the company's orders in the past three days had been for silver, compared with more typical demand of 70 percent to 80 percent for gold.

“The U.K. demand for Silver Britannia coins is very strong," he said by e-mail. “Three times more than average.”

Gold bought as few as 64.2 ounces of silver on Monday, the least since August 2014, after purchasing as much as 83.8 ounces in February, the most since the global financial crisis in 2008. Silver has jumped 45 percent this year, outpacing gold's 27 percent advance. Funds have boosted their net-long futures and options positions in the two metals to the highest since the data began in 2006.

“The outperformance was due for a long time and it's recently accelerated,” said Georgette Boele, an analyst at ABN Amro Bank NV. “Uncertainty surrounding Brexit is providing safe haven demand. At the same time markets are pricing out Fed rate hikes which is also supportive for gold and silver."

Boele said the long-term trend in the gold-silver ratio has broken to the downside and that silver could continue to outperform gold in the current market environment. “Moves in silver are often more substantial, both up and down,” she said.

Global gold holdings in exchange-traded funds have expanded by more than 500 metric tons since bottoming in January to 1,959.1 tons, the highest since 2013, while silver assets climbed to a record 20,232.1 tons in June, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Fresnillo, the world's biggest primary-silver producer, rose as much as 8.8 percent in London. It's up 168 percent this year, the best performer in the U.K.'s benchmark FTSE 100 index. Randgold Resources Ltd. gained 4.7 percent on Monday to a record high.

Still, not all investors are convinced by the rally in precious metals.

“I regard gold and silver as both part of the commodities complex,” James Bevan, chief investment officer at CCLA Investment Management Ltd., said in a Bloomberg TV interview. “I worry that commodities generally are now relatively overpriced in the context of slowing industrial activity on a global basis. The floor for these metals is really very low."

In other precious metals:

  • Platinum fell 0.2 percent and palladium dropped 0.2 percent.

--With assistance from Eddie van der Walt To contact the reporters on this story: Ranjeetha Pakiam in Singapore at rpakiam@bloomberg.net, Thomas Biesheuvel in London at tbiesheuvel@bloomberg.net. To contact the editors responsible for this story: Jason Rogers at jrogers73@bloomberg.net, Tony Barrett, Ana Monteiro

Essential Business Intelligence, Sharp Market Insights, Practical Personal Finance Advice, Daily Fuel, Gold and Silver Prices and Latest Stories — On NDTV Profit.

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