What is a double-dip recession?
Britain's economy on Wednesday fell back into a double-dip recession, sinking again after the 2009 slump, after official figures showed that it unexpectedly contracted during the first three months of the year.
But what is a double-dip recession?
1. A double-dip recession occurs when an economy recovering from negative rate of economic growth (gross domestic product, or GDP) slips back quickly into negative territory. This period may last three to four years, depending on the pace of growth and the size of the economy.
2. A double-dip economy resembles a ‘W' when the country's GDP growth is plotted into a chart, and is therefore also called a W-shaped recession.
3. The recession period in the US in the early 1980s is a prime example. The US economy slowed from January to July 1980, shrinking by an annual 8 per cent, after which it recovered to grow at 8.4 per cent. Then, in July 1981, the economy slipped back into the negative territory, and the lull lasted till November the following year.
4. Following the financial crisis after Lehman Brothers' collapse, the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policies ring-fenced India from the recession in the West. However, GDP growth slowed to 6.7% in 2008-09 from close to 9 per cent, and showed signs of recovery only in the second quarter of 2009, when it grew 7.9%, indicating that the worst was possibly behind it.
5. While the ‘R' word was bandied about at the height of the financial crisis, India did not really come close to it. On the contrary, the RBI's loose credit policy at the time stoked inflation over the past two years. Growth has slowed in the past two fiscals, largely because of a tight monetary policy to rein in inflation, as well because of global pressures such as the Eurozone crisis. An economy must register two consecutive quarters of negative growth to officially enter a recession. To be sure, India's growth has been hit even as the fiscal deficit is rising, leaving the government with little fiscal firepower for another stimulus.
-
Getting To Work Costs Women More | The Reason Why
It is not just about women paying more than men. It is about women paying much more in cities than in villages.
-
AI Bias In Investing Cannot Be Eliminated, But It Can Be Governed
Framing is a particularly important example as identical financial information presented in terms of gains rather than losses can lead an LLM to reach a different assessment.
-
Joining The Dots | Dark Skies, Steady Diya: Why Hope Holds This Diwali
With war, a weak rupee and foreign outflows weighing on sentiment, policymakers at the NDTV World Summit and market veterans at NDTV Profit Ignite: Diwali Edition offered the same advice: stay invested and filter out the noise.
-
The Curious Case of Equitas Small Finance Bank And A CEO Who Quit For Stock
PN Vasudevan believes persistent investor concerns over a perceived conflict of interest had become a governance overhang on Equitas Small Finance Bank's stock, even as the lender improved profitability and asset quality.
-
Talking Points This Week: AI Cash Burn, A Tiger Comeback And An India That Still Finds Its Own Path
India is not immune to higher oil or tighter global liquidity, yet its earnings base is broader, its domestic policy levers are still available.
-
Foreign Investors Own Half Of HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. An LTCG Cut Could Matter Most Here
Foreign portfolio investors have US$115 billion parked in HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank. If the government cuts long-term capital gains tax, Jefferies says returning foreign money could land here first.
-
'Never Seen This Level Of Negativity': Sandeep Tandon Says The Next Rally May Be Closer Than You Think
Veteran investor Sandeep Tandon says foreign selling is easing, large-caps are due a comeback and mid-caps are crowded, while he turns positive on gold, power and pharma this Diwali.
-
Indians Stay With Family, Not In Hotels | The Reason Why
India still lacks enough clean, reliable and affordable hotels for budget-conscious travellers.
-
The Economic Imperative: Analysing The Material Driving Force Behind India-Canada Strategic Reset
This economic complementarity is further reinforced by deep institutional investment ties and talent mobility, which form the bedrock of the bilateral framework.
-
Medicine Pricing: Where Must Profit Stop?
India must confront excessive margins, hidden incentives and regulatory gaps that threaten the integrity of medicine.