Lazard CEO Sees Second Wave of Crisis Led by Cash-Strapped Firms
(Bloomberg) -- Lazard Ltd. Chief Executive Officer Ken Jacobs, whose firm is working on some of the largest restructurings in the world, sees more trouble ahead even as economies begin to reopen.
“The second wave likely starts sometime this summer for the companies that don't have enough money to make it through,” Jacobs said this week in an interview.
Jacobs follows his deputy, Peter Orszag, who warned that there could be cascading bankruptcies if the U.S. government didn't step up with a more sweeping stimulus. President Donald Trump's administration is planning a $1 trillion relief package, people familiar with the matter said. That amounts to about a third of the size of the previous round.
The White House and Congress have been consumed with nationwide protests against police brutality after the death of George Floyd, a black man in Minneapolis. It's unclear how quickly a stimulus package can be passed as job cuts across America mount by the millions.
With 40 million Americans filing for unemployment, “it really starts to infect the rest of the economy and its ability to recover,” Jacobs said. White-collar jobs are the next to be affected, according to a Bloomberg analysis.
Wall Street leaders including JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. President John Waldron have voiced concerns about the potential for an economic rebound.
“I just don't believe we're going to have a light switch,” in which the economy just turns back on as businesses re-open, Jacobs said.
Read more: Trump team envisions up to $1 trillion for stimulus
©2020 Bloomberg L.P.
-
Signature Play: The Classic Cocktail Is Dead. Or Is It?
Classic cocktails are disappearing from India's cocktail menus. But they're still being ordered, taught to bartenders and borrowed from. So, who's really having the last drink?
-
A New Samvat Wishlist: Inclusive Prosperity And Human Development
India has strengthened its economic foundations through infrastructure, digital access and enterprise. Its next growth chapter must deepen productivity, create better livelihoods and widen participation in prosperity.
-
Love, Sex Aur Dhokha: The Audacious Plot To Spy On Jensen Huang
A Taipei dinner, a Singapore chip buyer and a suspected Chinese asset: inside the alleged spy operation that got close to NVIDIA's Jensen Huang.
-
Ten Things I Learnt This Samvat
Patience can be a trap. Cheap stocks can stay cheap. Leverage can wipe you out. What did Samvat 2082 teach us? Niraj Shah writes on 10 lessons from the year gone by.
-
Talking Points This Week: Tech Nerves, FII Buying, And A Faraway Banking Shock
The global markets are not shining this Diwali. The exception in the large markets is, India.
-
Midterm Rally Lasted A Day. The Hard Reality Of A Divided US May Last Two Years | Opinion
Between a contested AI boom, a debt ceiling that arrives in 2027 and a president with every incentive to act alone, the next two years may prove more volatile than the first day's rally suggests.
-
Blue Wave Will Derail the AI Trade but Won't Dismantle the AI Era | Unhedged Position
The Democrats' sweep of the US Congress will see politics collide with economic forces both over the long and short term.
-
It's Time To Take The GST Council's Bet On Trust Global
Payment records can prove India's services exports, and clear, proportionate rules can bring foreign digital sellers into the tax net.
-
Opinion | India at 38: From Innovation Overperformer to Innovation Powerhouse
India now has 453 VC-backed deep science startups, 18 of them late-stage, after 117 percent growth since 2020. Laurus Labs, at USD 9.3 billion, is the most valuable deep science company in any middle-income economy outside China.