BPCL Slumps as Iraq Crisis Sends Oil Prices to 9-Month High
Shares in oil marketing companies fell sharply on Friday after Brent crude prices hit nine-month high on Iraq crisis. State-run BPCL was the top Nifty loser, down nearly 6 per cent, while Indian Oil and HPCL traded with over 7-8 per cent lower.
The BSE Oil and Gas sub-index traded 3 per cent lower as compared to over 1 per cent decline in the broader Sensex.
India imports nearly 75 per cent of its crude and rising oil prices adversely impact the profitability of state-run retailers who sell diesel, kerosene and LPG at subsidised rates. Only petrol is sold at market rates in India.
Brent futures rose towards $114 a barrel on Friday as supply disruption fears took centre stage with the United States threatening military action in Iraq as Sunni Islamist militants push on towards Baghdad.
Brent rose 36 cents to $113.38 a barrel by 9 a.m., after earlier hitting $113.75 - its loftiest since September last year. It ended up with gains of more than $3 on Thursday.
"There have been no disruptions to oil supplies so far but people are very nervous," said Ken Hasegawa, a Tokyo-based commodity sales manager at Newedge Japan, referring to worries that escalating violence in Iraq could disrupt oil supplies from the second-largest OPEC producer.
The forces of Iraq's autonomous ethnic Kurdish north have taken control of the oil hub of Kirkuk as the troops of the Shi'ite-led government abandoned posts.
"Oil is now in a new price territory and is likely to climb more as investors rework their positions, supported by the uncertainty and technicals."
Given the break past key resistance at $105 a barrel, the US benchmark may rise towards $112 over the next two weeks, the high touched last year, if it manages to break past the next ceiling of $110, Hasegawa said.
Brent may gain towards $115 over the same time period now that it has broken past $110, he said.
Yet, producer group OPEC's latest forecast of the oil market being balanced in the second half of this year with extra production sufficient to meet growing demand, helped allay some concerns of disruption in supplies.
The cartel of 12 exporters said global oil inventories were comfortable. U.S. stockpiles were high and commercial stocks in the large developed economies were sufficient at the end of April to meet almost two months of consumption.
The unfolding geopolitical crisis overshadowed data out of the United States that showed retail sales rose less than expected in May and first-time applications for jobless benefits increased last week.
Investors are awaiting industrial output data from China due later in the day to gauge the demand outlook for the world's second-largest oil consumer.
(With inputs from Reuters)
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