Bitcoin’s Rally May Have More Room to Run, Technicals Suggest

(Bloomberg) -- Bitcoin's starting the week on the right foot after its worst week since November. Now, a number of technical indicators are signaling the potential rally may have further room to run.

On Monday, amid a rally of more than 4% to $8,886, Bitcoin retook its lower band, according to the Trading Envelope Indicator, a gauge that smooths moving averages to map out higher and lower limits. It may potentially test the upper limit, which could bring the coin to around $10,600. Bitcoin posted a similar move in mid-December, when it breached its lower band and rallied more than 10% in the ensuing week.

In addition, Bitcoin's Stochastic line is nearing the oversold level of 30, potentially further bolstering the chances of a short-term rally. Assets are considered oversold if the gauge drops below 30 and overbought if the it exceeds 70.

The largest cryptocurrency is coming off its worst week since Nov. 24, having dropped almost 14% through Friday. Arguments that the largest digital token acts as a place of shelter during market turmoil diminished last week as Bitcoin slumped amid an intense bout of equity-market selling. Still, many investors are betting it will continue to recover as the coronavirus starts to impact global growth prospects.

“Conversations are resurfacing about Bitcoin being perceived as a safe haven asset during global instability,” said Don Guo, chief executive officer of Broctagon Fintech Group. “You can see why -- crypto isn't bound by international borders or trade relations and, if this continues, we could not only see the price of Bitcoin skyrocket.”

Bitcoin was up 4.1% as of 9:40 a.m. in New York on Monday to trade around $8,863. Other cryptocurrencies also gained, with EOS rising more than 3% and Bitcoin Cash advancing 4.1%.

--With assistance from Kenneth Sexton.

To contact the reporter on this story: Vildana Hajric in New York at vhajric1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Jeremy Herron at jherron8@bloomberg.net, Dave Liedtka, Rita Nazareth

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