Tata Elxsi reported revenue of $107 million in Q3 FY26, up 3.2% QoQ in CC terms, above our estimate of 1.8% constant currency. Growth was led by transportation business (up 7.3% QoQ CC), whereas HLS/media and communications declined 4.3%/1.3% QoQ CC.
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Motilal Oswal Report
While Q3 execution improved, Tata Elxsi Ltd.’s growth remains uneven and largely reliant on transportation-led ramp-ups, with media and healthcare continuing to lag amid cautious client spending.
With demand recovery still selective rather than broad-based, Motilal Oswal expects a modest ~6% CAGR in USD revenue over FY25-28.
The brokerage maintaints its FY27 estimates unchanged but raise FY26/FY28 by 3%/1%, reflecting stronger-than-expected Q3 execution and better near-term visibility in the transportation vertical. However, margin expansion is expected to be gradual and back-ended, with Ebit margins improving to 22.4%. This translates into an EPS CAGR of ~7.5% over FY25-28.
Valuations remain steep at ~43x 12-month forward P/E, which the brokerage views as difficult to justify given the lack of sustainable cross-vertical growth visibility.
Hence the brokerage values the stock at 30 times FY28E EPS, with a target price of Rs 4,700 and maintain Sell rating.
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