CreditAccess Grameen - Value Emerging; Upgrade To Buy: HDFC Securities

Credit costs likely to witness further uptick

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HDFC Securities Institutional Equities

CreditAccess Grameen Ltd.’s Q4 FY24 earnings were ahead of estimates, driven by steady net interest margins (13.1%) and healthy loan growth (+27% YoY), partly offset by higher credit costs (240 basis points).

Profitability (return on asset/return on equity of 5.7%/25%) remained strong on the back of healthy risk-adjusted NIMs and continued efficiency gains. Borrower addition continued to gain traction (+15.3% YoY) and is likely to drive loan growth during FY25-FY26E.

CreditAccess Grameen's conservative underwriting and a calibrated approach to building scale have translated into strong cross-cycle profitability and growth outcomes.

The recent stock price correction since our Jan-24 downgrade, along with a steady FY25/FY26 outlook, makes risk-reward attractive.

We upgrade CreditAccess Grameen to Buy from Add with a revised RI-based target price of Rs 1,920 (implying 3.1 times Mar-26 adjusted book value per share).

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

HDFC Securities Institutional Equities CreditAccess Grameen Update.pdf
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