'Buy' Bharti Airtel Shares Maintains Motilal Oswal, Lowers Target Price — Here's Why 

Motilal Oswal believes capital allocation remains the key monitorable and would likely be 'the biggest driver for Bharti Airtel's stock price performance over the medium term.

The brokerage values India wireless and homes business on DCF, DTH/Enterprise at 4.5x/10x Mar’27E Ebitda and Bharti Airtel's stake in Indus Towers and Airtel Africa at a 25% discount to our target price/current market price..

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We continue to like Bharti Airtel’s superior execution on the premiumization agenda. With a moderation in capex intensity, Bharti is likely to generate significant FCF (~Rs 1.3 trillion over FY25-27E), which should lead to significant deleveraging and improvement in shareholder returns.

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Motilal Oswal Report

Driven by tariff repair in the India wireless segment, Bharti Airtel Ltd.’s free cash flow generation improved significantly over the past few years (9M FY25: Rs 292 billion). Bharti’s main priority for cash deployment so far has been prepaying high-cost debt.

With a complete flow-through of tariff hikes and a moderation in capex intensity, Bharti Airtel is likely to generate significant FCF (~Rs 1.3 trillion over FY25-27E).

With high-cost debt largely repaid and leverage under control, we believe capital allocation remains the key monitorable and would likely be the biggest driver for Bharti Airtel’s stock price performance over the medium term.

Our FY25-27 estimates are broadly unchanged as we build in FY24-27 CAGR of ~15%/19% in Bharti’s consolidated revenue/Ebitda. We reiterate our Buy rating on Bharti Airtel with a revised target price of Rs 1,985 (earlier Rs 1,990).

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Motilal Oswal Bharti Airtel Updfate.pdf
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Also Read: Bulls And Bears — India Valuation Handbook; Top Idea Picks For Large, Mid, Small Cap Stocks: Motilal Oswal

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