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Systematix Research Report
Amber Enterprises India Pvt. Ltd.’s Q1 came healthy (revenue/Ebitda/profit after tax up 41%/49%/ 59% YoY), driven by consumer durables (room AC, components) and electronics EMS segments. Strong summer season drove 50% YoY rise in RAC sales (versus 35% growth for industry). Non–RAC components also grew by a healthy 39% YoY. Below normal AC inventory in channel and in company will drive demand from Q3 as channels start restocking.
New BEE norms from Jan 01, 2026 will drive sales from Q3 FY26. Fully automatic washing machine will contribute fully from FY27. Given strong order book, electronics segment is now likely to grow by 45% YoY in FY25 versus 35% guided earlier, with ~8% Ebitda margin; printed circuit board will be a big growth driver going forward.
Railway Subsystems faced slow lifting of materials by Indian railways and metro; strong order book (Rs 20.75 billion) and new product additions provide long-term growth visibility.
Overall, Amber Enterprises aims 25% YoY revenue growth in FY25, driven by consumer durables and electronics EMS segments. Despite healthy Q1, we cut FY25 revenue/PAT estimates by 4%/2% on management guidance of flattish revenue in railway subsystem and maintain them for FY26.
We expect 27%/32% /74% CAGR in revenue/Ebitda/PAT over FY24-26E (FY19-24: 20%/18%/7%) with ~16% return on capital employed in FY26E.
Product portfolio expansion for new applications, backward integration and superior mix will drive revenue, margin and RoCE (19-21% RoCE by FY28, as per management; key to sustain valuation re-rating).
At 37 times FY26 P/E on current market price, we maintain Hold with an unchanged target price of Rs 4,773 (40x FY26E P/E).
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