Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Highlights: BJP-JDU-Chirag Alliance Seen At 140+ Seats; Prashant Kishore Factor Blows

Bihar Assembly Election exit polls 2025: Most pollsters have projected the NDA's return to power in the Hindi heartland state with a thumping majority.

(Image: NDTV Profit)

Voting ended in the Bihar Assembly election 2025 today. The NDA, co-led by the BJP and JD(U), is poised to win more than 145 seats, according to an aggregate of nine exit polls. The opposition Mahagathbandhan is seen as a distant second.

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Watch

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Here's What Shows Poll Of Polls

The poll of exit polls suggests that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is set to retain power in Bihar, whereas the Opposition bloc of Mahagathbandhan is seen as a distant second.

The NDA, co-led by the BJP and JD(U), is poised to win more than 145 seats, according to an aggregate of nine exit polls released on Tuesday. The survey outcome was released shortly after the conclusion of the second and final phase of the elections.

Read full report:

Also Read: Bihar Exit Polls: BJP-JDU Set To Retain Power With 145+ Seats, No Prashant Kishor Impact, Shows Poll Of Polls

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: TIF Research 

TIF Research Bihar Exit Polls 2025 (Total seats: 243 | Majority Mark: 122)

  • NDA: 145-163

  • MGB: 76-95

  • JSP: 0

  • Others: 3-6

(Health Warning: Exit polls are not always accurate)

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: The Caste Hangover

"Caste is the clincher," says Pradeep Gupta of the well-known polling agency Axis My India. The agency will release its Bihar exit polls 2025 tomorrow.

"Whoever gets the edge among Dalits will win," he said.

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: P-Marq 

P-Marq Bihar Exit Polls 2025 (Total seats: 243 | Majority Mark: 122)

  • NDA: 142-162

  • MGB: 80-98

  • JSP: 1-4

  • Others: 0-3

(Health Warning: Exit polls are not always accurate)

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Chanakya Strategies Sees At Least 100 Seats For MGB

Chanakya Strategies Bihar Exit Polls 2025 (Total seats: 243 | Majority Mark: 122)

  • NDA: 130-138

  • MGB: 100-108

  • JSP: 0

  • Others: 3-5

(Health Warning: Exit polls are not always accurate)

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: The 125-Seat Benchmark

The Mahagathbandhan does not have the "stamina" to cross 125 seats and the NDA's starting point is 125, says political analyst Amitabh Tiwari.

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: People's Insight Forecasts NDA Majority

People's Insight Bihar Exit Polls 2025 (Total seats: 243 | Majority Mark: 122)

  • NDA: 133-148

  • MGB: 87-102

  • JSP: 0-2

  • Others: 3-6

(Health Warning: Exit polls are not always accurate)

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Dainik Bhaskar Sees No JSP Impact

Dainik Bhaskar Bihar Exit Polls 2025 (Total seats: 243 | Majority Mark: 122)

  • NDA: 145-160

  • MGB: 73-91

  • JSP: 0

  • Others: 5-10

(Health Warning: Exit polls are not always accurate)

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Vir Sanghvi On NDA's Projected Win

"Not a surprise," says veteran journalist Vir Sanghvi, on initial trends projecting NDA sweep in Bihar.

He said Congress has internally resigned that Tejashwi Yadav's appeal was limited and BJP was too powerful.

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Matrize Puts NDA Ahead

Matrize Bihar Exit Polls 2025 (Total seats: 243 | Majority Mark: 122)

  • NDA: 147-167

  • MGB: 70-90

  • JSP: 0-2

  • Others: 2-8

(Health Warning: Exit polls are not always accurate)

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: People's Pulse Projects NDA Sweep

People's Pulse Bihar Exit Polls 2025 (Total seats: 243 | Majority Mark: 122)

  • NDA: 133-159

  • MGB: 75-101

  • JSP: 0-5

  • Others: 2-8

(Health Warning: Exit polls are not always accurate)

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Key Seats In Round Two

Twelve ministers from Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's cabinet are contesting in this phase -- Bijendra Prasad Yadav (Supaul), Sumit Kumar Singh (Chakai), Mohd Zama Khan (Chainpur), Leshi Singh (Dhamdaha), Krishna Nandan Paswan (Harsidhi), Renu Devi (Bettiah), Neeraj Kumar Bablu (Chhatapur), Nitish Mishra (Jhanjharpur), Prem Kumar (Gaya), Sheila Mandal (Phulparas), Vijay Mandal (Sikti), and Jayant Raj Kushwaha (Amarpur).

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Voting Ends For Final Phase

Phase 2 of assembly polls in Bihar today saw the highest ever turnout, with over 60% voting till 5.30 pm. Voting is being held on 122 seats, from where a chunk of Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's cabinet is seeking re-election. 

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Voting Ends For Final Phase

Voting has ended for the second and final phase of the Bihar assembly election 2025. Those still in line at the polling booths will be allowed to exercise their right.

Bihar Exit Polls: How Accurate Were They Turned In 2020 And 2025

Bihar is a state seen tricky for pollsters, as the electoral sentiment is weighed upon by an array of factors, including caste arithmetic, law and order and development plank.

In the last two assembly elections, the exit polls failed to project an accurate picture of the final outcome. In 2015, the pollsters underestimated the victory of the Mahagathbandhan, whereas in 2020, they went totally wrong in predicting the National Democratic Alliance's (NDA) loss.

Similar to the last assembly polls, the Bihar assembly polls 2025 also largely witnessed a two-sided contest, pitting the Bharatiya Janata Party and Janata Dal (United)-led NDA against the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD)-Congress-headed Mahagathbandhan.

Here's a look at what the 2020 exit polls projected, and how the final results emerged:

An average of 11 exit polls projected the Mahagathbandhan as the winner, bagging around 125 out of the total 243 seats. On the other hand, the NDA was shown to be winning around 108 seats — 16 less than the halfway majority-mark.

On the day of results, however, the NDA managed to retain power, winning 125 seats, whereas the Mahagathbandhan fell short of wresting the state, as it could win only 110 constituencies.

Read full report below:

Also Read: Bihar Exit Polls: What Was Predicted In 2015 And 2020, And How Accurate They Turned Out — Here's A Look

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: 122 Seats In Final Round

The second and final phase of the Bihar Assembly election 2025 had voting at 122 constituencies. The results of the election will be out on November 14.

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Voting Enters Final Hour

Welcome to Bihar Election Exit Polls 2025 live coverage!

Voting has entered its final hour in the Hindi heartland state. The polling booth will close at 6 pm today. Those who are standing in the line will be allowed to finish voting.

As per the rules, exit polls can only be released after 6.30 pm.

Watch LIVE TV, Get Stock Market Updates, Top Business, IPO and Latest News on NDTV Profit. Feel free to Add NDTV Profit as trusted source on Google.
GET REGULAR UPDATES
Add us to your Preferences
Set as your preferred source on Google