Among the large caps, all coverage companies under Nirmal Bang are expected to a report decent set of numbers. In terms of revenue, Dr. Reddy’s (due to acquisition), Sun Pharma, Mankind Pharma (due to acquisition), and Ajanta Pharma are expected to report >10% YoY growth among the Large Caps, while Eris Life/JB Chemicals (due to acquisitions), Gland Pharma (on a low base), and Natco Pharma are expected to report double-digit YoY revenue growth in the Mid Cap/Small Cap space.
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Nirmal Bang Report
Our pharma coverage universe’s revenue is expected to grow 10.5% YoY, mainly driven by robust growth in the US on the back of key products including Revlimid and favourable currency movement. We expect the IPM to grow 8% mostly on account of price hike, new launches, and muted volume uptick. In our coverage universe, we expect Ajanta, Dr. Reddy's, JB Chemicals, Eris, Sun Pharma, and Lupin to outperform the IPM.
Margins are expected to improve YoY on the back of a better product mix, price hike benefits in branded markets, and normalizing cost inflation.
US is expected to grow ~8% YoY in CC terms mainly on account of Revlimid and new launches but it is expected to remain almost flat to negative QoQ. Also, the raw material prices softening is supporting US growth.
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