The first gigafactory of 2GWhr NMC chemistry is expected to commence by H1 CY27. For the gigafactory, Amara Raja targets to invest Rs 25 billion, most of which would be invested by the parent with some leverage, if required.
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Motilal Oswal Report
We met with the management team of Amara Raja Batteries Ltd. to get an update on the business. In the lead-acid business,
OE demand has picked up after GST rate cuts, while replacement is yet to pick up;
lead costs, excl. currency depreciation, remain stable QoQ;
the tubular battery plant can drive 300-400bp margin improvement for that segment;
the recycling plant can help save costs by 30-40bp;
power cost is likely to remain elevated for one more quarter before stabilizing.
In the New Energy business,
the combined investment for the first gigafactory (2GWh), the R&D plant and the customer qualification plant stands at Rs 25 billion (invested Rs 12 billion so far and will invest the balance in the next 12 months);
based on their progress, Amara would decide on further funding avenues for the entire project cost of about Rs 60-70 billion for 16GWh capacity;
this business can deliver 10-11% Ebitda margin at a scale of about 10 GWhr;
apart from Ather Energy, which has partnered with Amara for its cell requirements, Amara is currently working on few other RFQs.
While the market is optimistic about Amara’s li-ion initiative, we are cautious about its potential returns. We maintain a Neutral rating with a target price of Rs 1,030, based on 18x Jun’27E EPS.
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