Radico — Dolat Capital's Top Stock Pick In AlcoBev Sector; Q1 Results Preview

AlcoBev Q1 Results Preview: A modest upgrade for Radico Khaitan, Downgrade for United Spirits and flattish for United Breweries- Dolat Capital

While the quarter is expected to be healthy if it pans out as envisaged, the estimate changes for FY26/27E would be modest.

(Various brands of liquor bottles kept on shelves for display. Photo Source: pxhere)

AlcoBev companies in Dolat Capital's universe (United Spirits/Radico Khaitan/United Breweries) are expected to report revenue /gross profit/Ebitda/adjusted profit after tax growth of 11.3/12.5/12.8/20.4% YoY. Growth will largely be driven by volumes (especially in IMFL), low-single digit price mix and modest gross margin expansion.

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Dolat Capital Report

We remain positive on Radico Khaitan Ltd. driven by premiumization, feeling the product and geographic white-gaps and superior execution. United Spirits Ltd. would be negatively impacted by Maharashtra excise policy and may benefit United Breweries Ltd. to some extent.

Higher earnings expectations, stock outperformance and valuations capture the sector’s optimism, leaving limited room to err. In this backdrop, we see limited scope for multiple rerating, if any.

Stock returns thus shall follow the annualized earnings trajectory. Moderation in P&A demand and increased competition in the segment are key risks. Our preference is for Radico Khaitan.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Dolat Capital AlcoBev - Q1FY26 Earnings Preview.pdf
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