The brokerage remain positive structurally but note that near-term headwinds on pricing, regulations and margins may keep stocks rangebound in near term. Upstream broadly delivered in-line volume growth, with improvement in realisation in store for both crude and gas.
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ICICI Securities Report
Q3 FY25 Ebitda/PAT improved by 17%/12% QoQ and flattish/-8% YoY for our coverage universe (ex-Gulf Oil Lubricants lndia Ltd.). The sequential rise in Ebitda was driven by strong earnings from oil marketing companies, Reliance and ONGC. YoY operational earnings were flattish driven by strong earnings from Reliance, BPCL, HPCL and ONGC, set off by weaker earnings from IOCL, CGDs and utility companies.
Singapore GRM improved by $1.2/bbl QoQ; blended retail fuel margin improved by Rs 2.6/ltr. Cut in APM allocation drove the YoY decline in reported earnings for CGDs.
Upstream broadly delivered in-line volume growth, with improvement in realisation in store for both crude and gas.
We remain positive structurally but note that near-term headwinds on pricing, regulations and margins may keep stocks rangebound in near term.
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