MRF Q4 Results Review: Anand Rathi Maintains 'Buy' Rating On Robust Margins, Hikes Target Price

Anand Rathi remains positive regarding margin expansion and MRF's market-share gains, hence maintains 'Buy' rating on the stock.

MRF's standalone revenue grew 12% YoYto Rs 69.4 billion broadly in line with our Rs 70.5 billion estimate.

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Increase in input cost, despite higher revenue, was the reason for MRF's FY25’s profit decline. Replacement, institutional and export segments saw strong growth in Q4 and FY25. Exports grew 23% to Rs 23.21 billion. Growth was supported by new SKUs in various segments. Raw material cost softened slightly in Q4 but was offset by rupee depreciation. Price hikes were aimed at partially offsetting the rising input costs throughout the year.

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Anand Rathi Report

Exceeding our estimate, MRF Ltd.’s Q4 Ebitda grew 18% y/y to Rs 10.4 billion due to the higher-than-expected gross margin. The outlook for original equipment manufacturer/replacements/exports is bright and the company would gain share.

Ahead, we expect gross margin improvement, led by lower international rubber prices/crude derivatives and better realization (product mix and selective price hikes).

We expect 10%/16%/24% revenue/Ebitda/PAT growth over FY25-27. We remain positive regarding margin expansion and market-share gains. The stock quotes at 25x/21x FY26e/27e EPS.

We maintain a Buy, at a slightly higher target price of Rs 1,65,000 (earlier Rs 1,60,000), 25x FY27e P/E (25x FY27e).

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Anand Rathi MRF Q4FY25 Resutls Review.pdf
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Also Read: Escorts Kubota Q4 Review: Motilal Oswal Maintains 'Neutral' On Market Share Loss Concern, Cuts Target Price

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