L&T Tech — Valuations Capped With No Potential Upside, Says PL Capital Maintaining 'Hold' Post Q1 Results

L&T Tech during the quarter won several deals including one deal of $50 million, three deals of $20-30 million and six deals of $10 mn+ total contract value.

L&T Tech revenues in Q1 missed PL Capital' as well as consensus estimates largely due to SWC seasonality which was mitigated by Intelliswift integration.

(photo source: company website)

L&T Tech revenues in Q1 missed the brokerage's and consensus estimates largely due to SWC seasonality which was mitigated by Intelliswift integration. L&T Tech reported revenue of $335 million, down 4.2% QoQ in CC and 2.8% QoQ in USD compared to our estimate of 2.5% QoQ CC decline and consensus estimates of flat revenue growth in USD.

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PL Capital Report

L&T Technology Services Ltd.'s revenue growth (-4.2% QoQ constant currency) was below our estimates (-2.5% QoQ CC), attributed to the SWC seasonality, however ex-India USD revenue grew by 1.5% QoQ. The mobility business (ex-Auto) has stabilized and picked up pace in the off-highway and trucks segments, while automotive sees incremental pauses and deferrals on executions.

The weakness in the automotive is fairly balanced against the momentum within sustainability, validated through securing $50 million deal within the space. The deal ramp up would support the growth in H2, and even beyond the sizable win ($200m+ LD TCV) the deal pipeline seems to be robust.

Given the revenue miss in Q1, the ask-rare translates to ~2.8% CQGR for the rest of the year to achieve low double-digit CC growth. We believe the large deal ramp up and positive SWC seasonality would support growth in H2 to achieve directional milestone.

Margins were largely stable despite the notable revenue decline, partly aided by low-margin SWC seasonality and continued momentum in high-margin Sustainability business.

We are adjusting our revenue growth against Q1 miss, while keeping our margin estimates largely unchanged.

We are building in 9.8%/9.2% CC revenue growth, while keeping Ebit margins unchanged at 13.9%/14.7% for FY26E/FY27E.

We are assigning 29x PE to FY27E EPS, translating a target price of 4,250. Valuations capped with no potential upside, maintain our Hold rating.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

PL Capital L&T Tech Q1FY26 Results Review.pdf
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Also Read: 'Buy' Tech Mahindra Shares Maintains Motilal Oswal Post Q1 Results; Sees Upto 24% Upside

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