NIFTY IT now trades at a 10% premium to NIFTY vs its five-year average premium of 17%. The brokerage expects the tier-1 companies to report revenue growth in the range of 0.5–1.5% QoQ CC, with HCLTech likely leading the pack.
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ICICI Securities Report
Q2 FY26 appears to be a status quo quarter for tier-1 IT services companies with no surprises or shocks, even as the overhang from direct tariff apprehensions and $100,000 fee imposition on H-1B visas dragged NIFTY IT by ~8%.
NIFTY IT now trades at a 10% premium to NIFTY vs its five-year average premium of 17%.
We expect the tier-1 companies to report revenue growth in the range of 0.5–1.5% QoQ CC, with HCLTech likely leading the pack.
For TCS and Wipro, this has been be an uneventful quarter. For Infosys, we expect 20 basis points contribution from inorganic streams in our 1.2% QoQ CC estimates.
We estimate Ebit margins, for our coverage, to remain largely unchanged QoQ on an average. However, Infosys may see some tailwinds from completed wage hikes, project Maximus and INR depreciation.
Key monitorables:
Change in guidance by Infosys/HCLTech,
H1-B visa cost impact,
Wage hike update (Wipro),
GCCs taking away market share.
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