Infra-Road Q4 Results Preview - Better Execution Drives Growth; Outlook Remains Positive: Axis Securities

Higher budgetary allocation for roads in the Union Budget 2023-24 would support the construction of more highways and expressways.

An under costruction road. (Source: pexels / Alejandro Perez)

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Axis Securities Report

We expect road construction companies under our coverage to report revenue/Ebitda/adjused profit after tax growth of 21%/22%/26% QoQ and 9%/5%/6% YoY, led by superior execution, supporting higher profitability during the quarter.

Q4 is generally a strong period for project execution. Moreover, with bidding and awarding activity accelerating during this period, project awarding by the National Highway Authority of India gained momentum as it awarded 4,300 km of the project till Feb-23 against 1,550 km in the first eight months of FY23.

Since H1 FY23 was soft in terms of project awarding, the NHAI increased the pace to meet its targeted project awarding of 6,500 km in FY23.

Most companies under our coverage have received a letter of award from the NHAI as it accelerated the pace of awarding. In terms of construction, NHAI is looking to construct 5,000 km of roads in FY23 and total construction till Feb-23 stood at 3,200 km.

The order book of our coverage universe has further strengthened with the addition of these recent awards, providing us with revenue visibility for the next two-three years. Further many companies have also diversified and won projects in non road segment thereby strengthening their revenue profile. We expect execution to remain robust moving forward.

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Axis Securities Infra-Road-Q4FY23-EarningsPreview.pdf
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Also Read: Infra Sector Update - Stable Awarding; Calibrated Aggression: HDFC Securities

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