While we believe DMart’s value-focused model would co-exist with QC’s convenience model over the longer term, rising competition on pricing could weigh on DMart’s growth and margins in the near term.
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Motilal Oswal Report
Avenue Supermarts Ltd. posted weak results in Q3 FY25 as standalone Ebitda grew 10% YoY (4% miss) due to weaker gross margin and higher cost of retailing.
Management indicated that increased intensity in discounting in the FMCG category continued to impact the high turnover per sqft stores in metros. However, the impact was relatively lower versus Q2 FY25.
DMart’s like-for-like growth for over two-year-old stores rose to 8.3% in Q3 (versus ~5.5% in Q2), albeit below the ~10% LFL growth rate in FY24.
The company’s growth moderated in the non-food FMCG (~13% YoY) and general merchandise and apparel (~16% YoY) segments, with GM&A’s contribution declining ~30 bp YoY. We believe higher competitive intensity in FMCG and lower GM&A contribution could have led to moderation in gross margin (down ~20bp YoY).
DMart added 10 stores in Q3 FY25 (22 in nine months). Acceleration in store additions remains the biggest growth driver for DMart, and we expect the pace of store additions to pick up in Q4 (build in 40 store additions in FY25).
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Also Read: DMart Q3 Review: Analysts Cut Target Amid Margin Pressure As Market Share Pursuit Intensifies
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