Bikaji Foods Q3 Results Review: Dolat Capital Upgrades Rating To 'Buy', Revises Target Price — Here's Why

Given recent fall in the stock price, the brokerage upgrades rating to ‘Buy’ with revised target price of Rs 811 valuing at 55 times FY27E.

  (Source: Company official business website)

Bikaji commands market leadership in Rajasthan, Assam and Bihar; it currently contributes ~66.6% to overall revenues (versus 67.3% in Q3 FY24). These states have reported 10.8% growth in Q3. Over the years, the company has gradually expanded its footprint across India, with operations across 25 states and four union territories

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Dolat Capital Report

Bikaji Foods International Ltd.’s Q3 FY25 profitability came below our estimate. Revenue grew by 14.5% YoY to Rs. 7.1 billion with 3.0% volume growth. Nonetheless, excluding the consumer offers of 10% extra on traditional snacks in the base quarter, volume growth was 7.9%.

We believe that volume growth will be the primary driver of revenue growth in the near term.

Due to inflationary pressure on raw material, gross margin contracted by 260bps to 29.0%. To mitigate raw material inflation, Bikaji implemented selective price increases. However, higher operating expenses led to a 430bps contraction in Ebitdam to 7.8%.

We have downward revised our FY25/26/27E EPS estimates by 26.3/8.3/8.7% to Rs 8.3/12.2/14.7 to factor in Q3 performance and elevated commodity prices which are likely to impact next three-four months performance. However, we believe that the margins would normalize with price hikes and resurgence of volume growth.

Given recent fall in the stock price (24% since our last report), we upgrade our rating to ‘Buy’ with revised target price of Rs 811 valuing at 55 times FY27E.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Dolat Capital Bikaji Foods International Q3FY25 Result Update.pdf
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Also Read: Sun TV Q3 Review — Core Business Lags, Revival In It Key For Rerating; Dolat Capital Downgrades To 'Sell'

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