Navigating Trump Tariffs: Outlook For Bilateral India-US Trade Agreement

Economically, the deal is crucial for significantly boosting bilateral trade, reducing tariffs and integrating supply chains.

Navigating Trump Tariffs: Outlook For Bilateral India-US Trade Agreement (Photo: NDTV Profit)

The "first phase" or the interim India-US trade deal is reportedly imminent, with both nations indicating they are very near to concluding the agreement.

By reducing its own tariffs on certain US goods (e.g., specific agricultural products, energy), India would encourage domestic industries to become more efficient and innovative to manage import competition. The proposed India-US trade deal is expected to benefit the US by strengthening its strategic partnership with India, increasing market access for US goods and services, and expanding energy and defense sales.

The deal would cement the US as a key trading partner and turn trade from a point of friction into a pillar of cooperation, aligning with both nations' broader Indo-Pacific strategies. The deal would transform the relationship into a deeper strategic partnership, strengthening economic ties with a key Indo-Pacific ally and serving as a regional counterweight to China.

India has increased its purchases of US oil and liquefied petroleum gas, and the deal is expected to encourage a further shift away from Russian crude imports, benefiting US energy companies. Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas Hardeep Singh Puri had announced on Nov. 17, 2025, that Indian PSU oil companies successfully concluded a one-year contract to import around 2.2 MTPA of LPG from the US Gulf Coast for the contract year 2026.

The US views India as a significant purchaser of American defence equipment and technology. Recent agreements include a potential large-scale purchase of MQ-9B drones and the joint production of GE F-414 jet engines, which support US jobs and technological cooperation.

The US seeks duty reductions and improved access for American products such as industrial goods, automobiles, wines, petrochemicals, dairy, and agricultural products like almonds, pistachios, and apples in India's large consumer market.

The India-US trade deal is highly important for both nations as a strategic and geopolitical tool to solidify their broader partnership and create a counterbalance to China's influence. Economically, the deal is crucial for significantly boosting bilateral trade, reducing tariffs, and integrating supply chains.

While the immediate economic benefits in terms of trade volume are substantial, the deal's most profound importance lies in cementing a long-term, multi-faceted strategic alliance between the world's two largest democracies. 

A trade deal will be a crucial pillar that supports the broader, multifaceted India-US relationship, providing the economic foundation necessary for a strong and enduring global strategic partnership.

The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of NDTV Profit or its affiliates. Readers are advised to conduct their own research or consult a qualified professional before making any investment or business decisions. NDTV Profit does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented in this article.

Also Read: New Opportunities For Indian Exporters After US Tariff Rollback

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WRITTEN BY
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Prabhu Dayal
Prabhu Dayal is a retired Indian Foreign Service officer from the 1976 batc... more
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