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Exit polls for the Jharkhand assembly election 2024 predict a close contest where neither of the two main alliances is hitting the majority mark. A poll of polls compiled by NDTV gives the opposition National Democratic Alliance 39 wins in a house of 81, while the ruling INDIA bloc is ahead in 38.
Such a narrow margin puts independent and other candidates in a sweet spot, as at least four are expected to win.
Read the full story here.
Several exit polls released on Wednesday predict a second term for the BJP-Shiv Sena (Eknath Shinde faction)-NCP (Ajit Pawar faction)-led Mahayuti alliance for the Maharashtra Assembly Election 2024. While three agencies—Dainik Bhaskar, P-Marq, and Lokshahi Marathi-Rudra—have predicted a hung house in Maharashtra.
On the other hand, the Electoral Edge exit poll has predicted victory for the Congress-Shiv Sena (Uddhav Thackeray)-NCP (Sharad Pawar faction)-led Maha Vikas Agadi alliance in Maharashtra.
Read the full story here.
Maharashtra Navriman Sena chief Raj Thackeray's son Amit is seen as a wildcard entry in the Mahim assembly contest in Mumbai where the two Shiv Sena's are pitted against each other.
All three parties have a similar vote base of working class Marathi-speakers and appeal of nativist ideas.
Mahesh Sawant from Sena UBT and current MLA Sada Sarvankar are in the fray.
Jharkhand phase two recorded 67.71% voter turnout, according to the latest provisional ECI data.
Mumbai City saw the lowest turnout in Maharashtra. The financial city of India recorded 49.07% voter turnout, while Mumbai Suburban recorded 51.92% turnout.
Maharashtra records 58.43% voter turnout, according to the latest provisional turnout data.
Shiv Sena's Mumbadevi candidate Shaina NC said she is confident of her victory and stresssed on her approach of reaching out to minority voters particulalrly women.
"There has been no development at all (in Mumbadevi). People just voted for the Congress based on community. I choose to fight all of this."
She fought her first election in 2004 on a BJP ticket from Mumbai.
Market expert Ajay Bagga said exit polls will struggle to have accuracy given the hyper-close nature of election and a low voter turnout.
"There is no landslide. The trend is against pooor governance and people getting voted on one platform and then forming parties another one. Voters have now become cynical."
There is an urban-rural divide in Maharashtra and issues are different for both regions, said Poornima Joshi, political editor and Delhi bureau chief of Hindu Business Line newspaper.
She said agrarian distress and unattractive prices for agricultural products have upset farmers across the rural heartland. On the other hand, in urban areas like Pune and Mumbai, money power and candidate selection is far more important.
Exit polls by Times Now- JVC shows the Mahayuti forming the government in Maharashtra with a big majority.
In a house of 288, the majority mark is 145.
Mahayuti: 150-167
Maha Vikas Aghadi: 107-125
Others: 13-14
Exits polls by Dainik Bhaskar predict a hung assembly in Jharkhand with the NDA marginally ahead of the INDIA coalition. Its too close to call in the eastern state.
In a house of 81, the majority mark is 41.
BJP+: 37-40
JMM+: 36-39
Others: 0-2
An outlier so far, exits polls by Dainik Bhaskar predicts the opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi securing a win in Maharashtra. Notably, the other category which includes several party rebels standing as independents has a higher share.
In a house of 288, the majority mark is 145.
Mahayuti: 125-140
Maha Vikas Aghadi: 135-150
Others: 20-25
Exit polls by Chanakya Strategies shows the Mahayuti forming the government in Maharashtra with a simple majority.
In a house of 288, the majority mark is 145.
Mahayuti: 152-160
Maha Vikas Aghadi: 130-138
Others: 6-8
Read story here.
Exit polls by P-Marq shows no political party or alliance securing a simple majority on its own, even as the Mahayuti is in lead.
In a house of 288, the majority mark is 145.
Mahayuti: 137-157
Maha Vikas Aghadi: 126-146
Others: 2-8
Jharkhand Exit Poll Results 2024: Axis My India predicts the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha-led INDIA bloc returning to power.
In a house of 81, the majority mark is 41.
BJP+: 25
JMM+: 53
Others: 3
Exit polls by Lokshahi Marathi-Rudra shows no political party or alliance securing a simple majority on its own, even as the Mahayuti is in lead.
In a house of 288, the majority mark is 145.
Mahayuti: 128-142
Maha Vikas Aghadi: 125-140
Others: 18-23
In house of 81, the majority mark is 41. Matrize expects the BJP winning a simple majority on its own, while the ruling JMM getting trounced.
BJP: 42-47
JMM: 12 - 17
Congress: 4-9
AJSUP: 2-7
Others: 1-4
Jharkhand Exit Poll Results 2024: Matrize predicts the BJP-led NDA clinching the state with a majority.
In a house of 81, the majority mark is 41.
BJP+: 42–47
JMM+: 25 –30
Others: 1-4
Maharashtra Exit Poll Results 2024: Matrize predicts Mahayuti returning to power.
In a house of 288, the majority mark is 145.
Mahayuti: 150-170
Maha Vikas Aghadi: 110-130
Others: 8-10
Maharashtra Exit Poll Results 2024: Peoples Pulse predicts Mahayuti winning majority.
In house of 288, the majority mark is 145.
Mahayuti: 182
Maha Vikas Aghadi: 97
Others: 9
Maharashtra Elections: Mumbai's Real Estate Tycoons Parag Shah, Mangal Lodha Among Richest Candidates
The voting for Jharkhand Assembly election has ended. Those standing in line will be allowed to complete voting. The poll officials will then wrap up the process.
The voting for Maharashtra Assembly election has ended. Those standing in line will be allowed to complete voting. The poll officials will then wrap up the process.
Maharashtra Assembly Election 2024 Exit Polls: When And Where To Watch To Results
The Lok Sabha exit polls in Maharashtra went for a throw when the results arrived in June.
The National Democratic Alliance was projected to win a larger number of seats in Maharashtra on the back of the Bharatiya Janata Party retaining its turf, even as allies Shiv Sena and Nationalist Congress Party contend with losses.
As per five exit polls, the NDA was expected to win more than 30 seats out of 48 in Maharashtra. The opposition INDIA bloc that counts the Congress, Shiv Sena (UBT) and NCP (Sharad Pawar) was likely to secure at least 15 seats.
At the end, the MVA scored a big win when results came, securing 31 seats, while the Mahayuti got pushed to 17.
As per the latest Election Commission data available at 5:00 p.m., here's the voter turnout in Maharashtra and Jharkhand:
Maharashtra Turnout (Provisional): 58.22%
Mumbai City Turnout (Provisional): 49%
Jharkhand Second Phase Turnout (Provisional): 67.6%
All the latest updates here.
"I am not against psephology; it's a science that deserves study," Devendra Fadnavis said, emphasising that exit polls reveal valuable insights into the accuracy of electoral predictions. He acknowledged that while statistical models like psephology are valuable, they’re most effective when the political undercurrent is clear.
Read more here.
As per the latest Election Commission data available at 3:00 p.m., here's the voter turnout in Maharashtra and Jharkhand:
Maharashtra Turnout (Provisional): 45.5%
Mumbai Turnout (Provisional): 39.34%
Jharkhand Second Phase Turnout (Provisional): 61.5%
All the latest updates here.
Voting for the Maharashtra and Jharkhand Assembly elections will end at 6 p.m. Voters in line will be allowed to cast their vote.
As per election rules, the exit polls can only be released after voting ceases. So, the first trends is expected to arrive by 6:30 p.m.
Maharashtra voted in a single phase for its 288 assembly seats on Wednesday, while Jharkhand had two rounds with the first one on Nov. 13. The number of constituencies is 81.
All the latest updates here.
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