Noting commentary on a sustained weak macro environment, TCS' growth visibility remains low. Despite robust deal wins and TCV pipeline, its conversion into growth remains to be seen while margins remain healthy.
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Dolat Capital Report
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. posted subdued constant currency revenue growth of 0.8% QoQ (below 1.2% estimate) amid persistent macro weakness and continued cautious client spending.
Operating profit margin improved to 25.2%, up 72 bps QoQ (our estimate 24.7%), as forex gains, operational efficiencies, and pyramid rebalancing (headcount down 3.2% QoQ) offset 1-month wage hike impacts.
Management remains confident about delivering better H2 growth; TCV improves to $10 billion ($42 billion on a trailing twelve months basis up 9% YoY) as large and mega deals provide visibility for future growth, though the pace of conversion into revenues will be crucial to monitor.
Commentary highlighted entry into asset-heavy Data center biz, which raises some concerns regarding near-term growth recovery prospects.
We lower our FY26E/FY27E EPS estimates by 1.7%/2.5% (FY28 introduced), but in view of recent price corrections, revise our rating to ‘Accumulate’ with target price of Rs.3,380 valued at 22x on FY28E
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