Asset quality volatility historically has been the concern for the company; however, management has taken steps to bring the stability over the period. Rural economy growth is expected to improve with better rainfall and steps by the government which should support Mahindra Finance.
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IDBI Capital Report
Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services Ltd.’s net interest margins declined by 10 basis points QoQ led by decline in yield on assets. Management guided for NIMs to improve from here on with positive impact of rate cut on cost of funds.
Asset quality improved with GS3 at 3.7% versus 3.9% QoQ led by higher write offs. Q4 generally is strong quarter with respect to collections. AUM growth slowed down to 17% YoY (19% YoY Q3 FY25) led by lower disbursements; we expect 16% CAGR over FY25-27E.
Net interest income grew by 12% YoY led by decline in NIMs. Pre provision operating profit grew by 3% YoY led by lower other income (down 79% YoY). PAT declined by 32% YoY led by higher provisions (up 88% YoY). Thus, RoA declined to 1.7% (Q4 FY25) versus 2.8% (Q3 FY25) as against guidance of 1.8-2.0% FY25.
We have largely maintained our estimates and maintain Buy with target price of Rs 325 valuing it at 1.8X FY27E adjusted book value.
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