JK Lakshmi Cement is expanding its capacity through various projects. It will add 1.35 mtpa at Surat, Gujarat by Q2 FY26E, 2.3mtpa clinker at Durg, Chhattisgarh by Q3 FY27E (vs earlier H1 FY27E)/4.6mtpa (2.4mtpa/2.2mtpa by Q3FY27E vs earlier H1FY27E/FY28E) cement GUs spread over 4 locations at Durg (Chhattisgarh), Prayagraj (UP), Madhubani (Bihar) and Patratu (Jharkhand) at a capex of Rs25 bn (Rs17.5 bn debt/balance internal accruals).
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Dolat Capital Report
JK Lakshmi Cement Ltd.’s Q4 FY25 numbers beat our estimates on all fronts.
We expect revenue/Ebitda/adjusted profit after tax CAGR of 11.4%/11.5%/10.8% over FY25-27E led by volume growth of 9%/9% and 4%/0.5% realization/tonne growth in FY26E/FY27E.
We have increased our Ebitda estimates by 7.8%/8.5% for FY26E/FY27E post factoring higher realization/tn. We also estimate Ebitda/tn to increase from Rs 713 in FY25 to Rs 957/Rs 1,013 in FY26E/FY27E.
Given higher profitability, we upgrade our rating to ‘Accumulate’ from Reduce with a revised target price of Rs 941 based on 9x consolidated FY27E EV/Ebitda + 50% FY27E capital work in progress.
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