Indian Hotels Q3 Results Review  — Dolat Capital Reiterates 'Sell' On Rich Valuations

Inherent cyclicality, economic slowdown, high base, competition and high valuations are some of the key risks, says the brokerage.

Indian Hotels’ Q3 FY25 performance was in line and healthy.

(Representative image. Source: Envato)

Indian Hotels maintains a positive growth outlook for the near term (especially near term viz. Q4 FY25/Q1 FY26), however, the brokerage believes this growth is getting front-loaded.

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Dolat Capital Report

Indian Hotels Company Ltd.’s Q3 FY25 performance was in line and healthy. Consolidated revenue/Ebitda/adjusted profit after tax grew +29/31.3/28.8% YoY. Revenue/Ebitda growth (excluding Taj SATS) was impressive at 15/21% YoY.

Enterprise level RevPAR growth at 13% on a same-store basis was healthy too.

The company maintains a positive growth outlook for the near term (especially near term viz. Q4 FY25/Q1 FY26). However, we believe this growth is getting front-loaded. As FY25 will be the third year of industry outperformance, it may pose a challenge for FY26/27E growth. Inherent cyclicality, economic slowdown, high base, competition and high valuations are some of the key risks.

We broadly maintain our FY25-27E estimates. We increase our target multiple from 25 times to 30 times FY27E enterprise value/Ebitda in the backdrop of changed consumer behaviour, Indian Hotels’ superior execution and demand-supply mismatch (albeit catching up).

We reiterate ‘Sell’ rating with revised target price of Rs 775 @ 30x (Pre IndAS) FY27E EV/E (versus Rs 630 @ 25x Pre IndAS) due to rich valuations.

We expect revenue/Ebitda/APAT CAGR of 16/19/23% over FY24-27E. Indian Hotels trades at ~36/31x FY26/27E EV/E and 60/50x PE.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Dolat Capital Indian Hotels Q3FY25 Result Update.pdf
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Also Read: Indian Hotels Q3 Results: Profit Up 33%, Beats Estimates

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