Nirmal Bang expects its coverage banks to report net interest income/pre-provison operating profit growth of 2.7% YoY/2.2% YoY, respectively, and a 3.4% YoY decline in PAT due to the slowdown in business growth and some pressure on margins.
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Nirmal Bang Report
As per the analysis of the provisional business updates shared by lenders, some of the key trends which were visible during Q1 FY26 include:
Credit growth has moderated (mainly on account of stress build up in unsecured loans and RBI’s increased regulatory oversight in the recent past),
Deposit growth also remains a challenge with the deposits growth of 10.4% YoY mainly coming from term deposits,
Private banks have seen better deposit growth and PSBs have seen credit growth outpace deposit growth,
CASA deposit mobilization in the banking system remained under pressure,
Banks, which have reported provisional numbers, have seen a decline of 198bps YoY/22bps QoQ in C/D ratio,
Asset quality trends remain stable for large lenders; however, unsecured retail (MFI) continues to witness elevated stress levels.
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