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Dolat Capital Report
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.'s profit after tax was ahead of estimates due to-
higher-than-expected marketing margins on oil products and better than expected gross refining margin of $12.6/barrel of oil;
refinery throughput up 7% YoY;
BPCL has been gaining market share in auto fuel among public sector undertaking; and
20% YoY fall in operating expense.
Mega spending on energy transition, net carbon zero and energy Security:
A plan to invest Rs 1,5 trillion over next five to six years, capex/annum will accelerate from FY26 onwards.
Management has largely maintained capex guidance of Rs 100 billion/Rs 130 billion in FY24/FY25.
Considering the higher marketing margins we increase assumptions for the FY24E but maintained for FY25E. We maintain 'Accumulate' with a target price of Rs 440 (versus earlier Rs 430).
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