The first-quarter results for Escorts Kubota have brought in a positive reaction from both Macquarie and CLSA maintaining their 'Outperform' ratings. Macquarie has set a target price of Rs 4,360, while CLSA has a a higher target price of target price of Rs 4,000, with a potential upside of 18%.
The optimism from the brokerages is rooted in the company's strong first-quarter performance, which was driven by a "modest Ebitda beat" and a positive outlook for the tractor segment, with new product launches and an anticipated recovery in the coming quarters.
Macquarie: Focus On New Product Launches
Macquarie maintains its 'Outperform' rating on Escorts Kubota, highlighting a better-than-expected performance in the agricultural segment as a "key positive surprise." While a disappointment in the construction equipment business was noted, management's outlook for the financial year 2026 domestic tractor demand remains stable at mid-high single digits.
Macquarie's view is based on the company's new product launches aimed at gaining market share in southern and western India. Additionally, the brokerage noted that improved pricing levels, driven by the revised regulatory norms, will support the company's financial year 2026 Ebitda margin to be in the 12-12.5% range.
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CLSA: Margin Expansion As A Key Driver
CLSA also maintains an 'Outperform' rating on Escorts Kubota, trimming its target price slightly to Rs 4,000 from Rs 3,860. The brokerage's positive view is primarily driven by the "margin expansion" witnessed in the first quarter. Escorts Kubota's Ebitbda margin improved by 104 basis points quarter-on-quarter, reaching 13.1%, which was 116 basis points above the brokerage estimates. This expansion was a result of softened raw material prices and lower operating leverage.
The analyst notes that the company's domestic tractor volumes declined year-on-year in the first quarter, but with new products, especially the PowerTracs series, and an expanded dealer network, it expects volume growth to turn positive in the second half of financial year 2026.
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