IMD has been constantly tracking the movement and intensity of the low pressure area and the recent deep depression in Bay of Bengal.
Here is the latest update by the India Meteorological Department:
'Deep depression which lay centered near lat 9.1 deg N and lon 88.7 deg E, about 520 km southwest of port Blair, 1410 km south-southwest of Cox’s bazaar (Bangladesh) at 1130 hrs IST of today the 10thMay 2023. To intensify gradually into a cyclonic storm over the same area by tonight.'
IMD Storm Surge And Weather Warnings Issued
IMD has also issued expected weather warnings to all the nearby coastal regions. Storm Surge warning has also been issued for North Myanmar and adjoining southeast Bangladesh coasts. Storm Surge with height of about 1.8 m over and above the astronomical tide is likely during the rainfall.
Heavy to very heavy rainfall and squally winds are expected in many nearby coastal regions and areas.
IMD Update on May 10 - Morning
The India Meteorological Department stated in its bulletin on May 10 that a depression over the southeast bay of Bengal has moved west-northwestwards at a speed of 05 Kmph during the past 6 hours and has intensified into a deep depression.
It is predicted to move northwestwards for some time and then northwestwards, gradually gaining strength into a cyclonic storm around 1200 UTC today.
Based on the forecasts, the cyclone is expected to move in a North-Northwest direction on May 11 and intensify into a severe cyclonic storm over the southeast and nearby central bay of Bengal. It is likely to weaken slightly on May 13 before making landfall between Cox's Bazar in Bangladesh and Kyaukpyu in Myanmar on May 14, with a maximum sustained wind speed of 110-120 Kmph and gusts up to 130 Kmph.
Cyclone Mocha Forecast Track And Intensity
"Date/Time (IST)" | "Maximum sustained surface wind speed (Kmph)" | "Category of cyclonic disturbance" |
---|---|---|
10.05.23/0530 | 50-60 gusting to 70 | Deep Depression |
10.05.23/1130 | 55-65 gusting to 75 | Deep Depression |
10.05.23/1730 | 60-70 gusting to 80 | Cyclonic Storm |
10.05.23/2330 | 70-80 gusting to 90 | Cyclonic Storm |
11.05.23/0530 | 90-100 gusting to 110 | Severe Cyclonic Storm |
11.05.23/1730 | 105-115 gusting to 125 | Severe Cyclonic Storm |
12.05.23/0530 | 125-135 gusting to 150 | Very Severe Cyclonic Storm |
12.05.23/1730 | 130-140 gusting to 155 | Very Severe Cyclonic Storm |
13.05.23/0530 | 140-150 gusting to 165 | Very Severe Cyclonic Storm |
13.05.23/1730 | 130-140 gusting to 155 | Very Severe Cyclonic Storm |
14.05.23/0530 | 120-130 gusting to 140 | Very Severe Cyclonic Storm |
14.05.23/1730 | 55-65 gusting to 75 | Deep Depression |
Weather Warnings By IMD In These States:
Heavy to very rainfall at isolated places in Andaman & Nicobar Islands is likely till May 11 and Heavy rainfall at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands is likely on May 12. Squally wind speeds reaching 45-55 Kmph gusting to 65 Kmph are prevailing and becoming 50-60 Kmph gusting to 70 Kmph from May 10 forenoon till May 11.
Heavy rainfall in Tripura & Mizoram on May 13 and Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places on May 14.
Rainfall at many places with Heavy rainfall at isolated places on May 14 in Nagaland, Manipur, East Arunachal Pradesh & South Assam.
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