The NSE Nifty 50 is currently consolidating within a range, with immediate support identified near 23,500 and resistance at 23,855 level.
Analysts suggest that a decisive move above 23,855 level can propel the index towards 24,000-24,100 levels, while a breach below 23,500 may signal further downside.
"Technically, Nifty has been attempting to cross the 200-Day Simple Moving Average or 200-DSMA hurdle over the last three sessions but has been unable to sustain above it, forming a small red candle," Hrishikesh Yedve, assistant vice president of technical and derivatives research at Asit C. Mehta Investment Interrmediates Ltd., said.
The 200-DSMA is currently placed near 23,855, which will act as an immediate hurdle for the index. A sustainable move above 23,855 will push the index further higher to 24,000–24100 levels, according to Yedve.
"On the downside, 23,500 serves as immediate support. In the short term, the index is expected to consolidate within the 23,500–23,850 range, with a breakout on either side determining its future trajectory," Yedve said.
The Nifty ended flat on account of subdued activity ahead of the year-end holiday season. Persistent FII selling, rising bond yields and stronger dollar index continue to dampen investor sentiments, according to Siddhartha Khemka, head of research, wealth management at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. "With no major triggers in the near term, markets are likely to consolidate in a broad range."
Khemka noted that investors would closely monitor earnings revival in Q3, as it will be the next significant factor for driving the markets.
Technically, the markets consistently taken support near 23,650/78,150 while experiencing profit booking near the 200-day simple moving average or at 23,850/78,900. It also formed a small candle on the daily charts, which supports the continuation of range-bound activity in the near future, according to Shrikant Chouhan, head of equity research at Kotak Securities.
"For traders now, the immediate breakout level is 23,850/78,900 or the 200-day SMA. Above this level, the market could move up to 23,950-24,000/79,200-79,500. Conversely, if it drops below 23,650/78150, it could retest the levels of 23,550-23,500/77,900-77,700," Chouhan said.
The Bank Nifty closed marginally lower at 51,171. Yedve said that on the daily chart, the index formed a red candle. The 200 DSMA is placed around 50,560 and will act as strong support, while the 100-day exponential moving average around 51,635 serves as a resistance.
"In the short term, the index is likely to consolidate between 50,550 and 51,650, with a breakout in either direction determining its future movement," he said.
FII/DII Activity
Overseas investors stayed net sellers for the eighth consecutive session and offloaded stocks worth Rs 2,376.7 crore on Thursday, according to provisional data from the National Stock Exchange.
Domestic institutional investors stayed net buyers for the seventh straight session and bought stocks worth approximately Rs 3,336.2 crore on Thursday.
Market Recap
The Indian benchmark equity indices saw a muted close on Thursday, after opening higher.
The NSE Nifty 50 ended 0.10% or 22.55 points up at 23,750.20 and the BSE Sensex closed flat at 78,472.48. During the day, both the indices had risen around 0.5%.
There was a lack of triggers from around the globe as most markets were closed on account of the Boxing Day holiday.
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Ltd. contributed the most to the gains, while heavyweights HDFC Bank Ltd. and Reliance Industries Ltd. dragged.
Major Stocks In News
Gujarat Fluorochemicals: The board approved the slump sale of 57 MW plant to arm IGREL Mahidad for consideration of Rs 200 crore and approved the investment up to Rs 40 crore in the arm IGREL Mahidad. The company to acquired 26% stake in promoter-owned Flurry Wind Energy for the consideration of Rs 200 crore. The company plans to enter a power purchase agreement with IGREL Mahidad to procure up to 107 MW of power. Additionally, it will enter another power purchase agreement with Flurry Wind Energy to purchase up to 350 MW of power.
Jubilant Foodworks: The company entered the MoU with Coca-Cola India for the purchase of a portfolio of sparkling beverage products and other products from the Coca-Cola company authorized bottlers and will also be conducting marketing activities for the said products.
RBL Bank: The company participated in the IPO of DAM Capital Advisors, and divested entire 8.16% stake in the offer for sale for Rs 163 crore. Post transaction, the bank does not have any equity shareholding in DAM Capital.
Global Cues
Stocks in Asia advanced in early trade on Friday as all markets in the region opened after a two-day Christman break following a muted close on Wall Street.
Japan's Nikkei was 280 points, or 0.71%, higher at 39,851, while Australia's S&P ASX 200 was up 33.8 points or 0.41% at 8,254, as of 7:52 a.m. Futures contracts pointed to losses in mainland China and marginal gains in Hong Kong.
Shares in South Korea slipped on Thursday after business confidence in the country fell the most since the global outbreak of Covid-19. Benchmark Kospi index was down 0.86%.
Meanwhile, the Japanese yen dropped to a five-month low of 158 per dollar in the previous session after the Bank of Japan Governor said the economy would move closer to sustainably achieving the central bank's inflation target next year.
The yen's fall came after inflation in Tokyo rose for a second month in December. Industrial output, however, fell less than estimated while retail sales came in higher than expected.
The dollar index — which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of 10 leading global currencies — was flat at 108.12. However, the dollar is headed for its best year since 2015.
Japan's industrial production data for November is expected on Friday and is likely to fall due to a downswing in the output of high-value-added products. Tokyo will also announce their CPI data on Friday as well.
Stocks on Wall Street ended Thursday's session mixed after mixed jobless claims data. Recurring applications for US unemployment benefits rose to the highest in more than three years and initial claims ticked down to 219,000 last week.
The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 0.04% and 0.05%, respectively, on Thursday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.07%. The US 10-year yield dropped one basis point to 4.58% during the session.
Bitcoin declined even with cryptocurrency stockpiler MicroStrategy Inc. planning to issue more shares, a move that would allow it to buy even more tokens.
Crude oil prices declined after a two-day rise. The Brent crude was trading 0.05% lower at $73.22 a barrel as of 7:09 a.m. IST, and the West Texas Intermediate was down 0.07% at $69.57.
Money Market
The rupee closed at a record low of 85.26 against the US dollar on Wednesday, weakening by 6 paise from its previous close of 85.20 on Tuesday. During the session, the currency hit an all-time intraday low of 85.29, reflecting persistent downward pressure amid global economic uncertainties and dollar strength.
The dollar index remained elevated at 108.15, supported by persistent US inflation, geopolitical concerns, and favourable interest rate differentials.
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