Tax Tweak Could Deliver Margin Bonanza For Indraprastha Gas, Says Motilal Oswal Maintaining 'Buy'

Motilal Oswal remains positive on IGL, citing strong fundamentals, margin expansion potential from tax and tariff reforms, and favorable commodity price trends.

Zonal tariff reform to further boost IGL's Ebitda margin by Rs 0.7-1.3/scm.

(Source: company website)

As per the brokerages scenario analysis, it estimates an Rs 0.9/scm Ebitda margin gain for IGL (we currently build in Rs 5.9/6.5/6.5 per scm Ebitda margin for IGL in FY26/27/28). Hence, if this tax change materializes, it would lead to 8%/15%/15% increase in our FY26/27/28 PAT estimates.

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Motilal Oswal Report

As per media reports and our channel checks, Indraprastha Gas Ltd. could see a potential Ebitda/standar cubic metre upside of 16-20% due to a change in the tax rate on gas sourced from Gujarat (official confirmation is awaited).

Moreover, IGL could see Ebitda margin benefits of Rs 0.7-1.3/scm from Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board’s move to a two-zone tariff regime. We have a Buy rating on IGL.

While Mahanagar Gas has been our preferred pick in the CGD space, we estimate a minor Ebitda upside of 3-4% for Mahanagar Gas from this tax change (if confirmed).

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Motilal Oswal IGL Company Update.pdf
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Also Read: Motilal Oswal Maintains 'Neutral' Stance On SBI Cards — Here's Why

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