KEC’s Q4 FY25 performance was broadly in line on the revenue and Ebitda fronts, while net profit was above our estimate due to a lower-than-expected tax rate. KEC’s revenue grew 12% YoY to Rs 68.7 billion vs the brokerage's estimate of Rs 68.4 billion.
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Motilal Oswal Report
KEC International Ltd.’s Q4 FY25 performance was broadly in line on the revenue and Ebitda fronts, while PAT was above our estimate. Strong execution, especially in the transmission and distribution and cables segments (which reported higher revenue and profitability), propelled KEC’s revenue and Ebitda.
KEC’s margin surprised and reached 7.8% in Q4 FY25. Its FY25 order inflows jumped 36% YoY to Rs 247 billion, taking the total order book to Rs 334 billion, up 9% YoY (particularly driven by T&D). Looking ahead, T&D is expected to remain the key growth engine, supported by a strong order book and expanding global pipeline, while the non-T&D segment is expected to have a turnaround and start improving beyond FY26 through high-margin industrial, semiconductor, and export focused opportunities.
We raise our estimates by 1%/3% for FY26/27 to factor in KEC’s FY25 performance. We reiterate our Neutral rating on the stock with a revised target price of Rs 940, premised on 21x Mar’27 estimates.
Key risks and concerns
A slowdown in order inflows, higher commodity prices, an increase in receivables and working capital, and heightened competition are some of the key risks that could potentially affect our estimates.
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