IT Services, Internet, Software, KPO Q3 Results Preview - Worst Behind, But Recovery To Be Slow: Dolat Capital

Dolat Capital maintains a selective stance for Internet and software.

Shriram Finance's stock rose as much as 1.77% during the day to Rs 3,022 apiece on the NSE. (Photo Source: Envato)

For Q3 FY25, among tier-1s, the brokerage expects HCLTech/LTIMindtree to lead revenue growth due to seasonally strong software biz./Improving biz. prospects with 3.7%/1.3% CC growth, followed by TCS/Infosys/Tech Mahindra/Wipro with 0.8%/0.2%/Flat/-0.8% growth.

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DRChoksey Report

For Indian IT Services, Q2 FY25 commentary suggested bottoming of weak growth as evinced by unchanged/slightly upgraded outlook for FY25, flattish headcount growth and nil project cancellations. However, for Q3 FY25, we expect constant currency revenue growth to range between 0.1% to 3.7% for tier 1 names, and between -0.2% to +4% for tier-2 names.

Key reasons for muted revenue growth include:

  1. Seasonal furloughs and cross-currency headwinds,

  2. Largely unchanged demand environment/macros (as also observed in Accenture’s Q1 FY25 commentary),

  3. decline in trailing twelve months- total contract value (at industry level) by 4% YoY (only two of nine under coverage reported growth), suggesting lower short term visibility.

Operating profit margin to see a movement ranging from -117bps to +96bps, with weakness attributed to muted revenue growth and limited margin levers.

Key commentary to watch will be -

  1. Client budgeting and spend outlook for CY25 amid change in U.S administration,

  2. BFSI spends (fewer than expected rate cuts for CY’25), and

  3. Recovery timeline of discretionary spends.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

Dolat Capital IT and Digital Services - Q3FY25 Quarterly Preview.pdf
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Also Read: Auto, Auto-Ancillaries Q3 Results Preview- Volume Growth Led By Strong Export, PV Sales Performance: DRChoksey

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