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HDFC Securities Institutional Equities
The National Highway Authority of India had set a target of awarding 6,500 km in FY23, of which it awarded ~3,750 Km (versus 6,306 km in FY22) at an NHAI cost of Rs 1 trillion.
Ordering seems to have spilt over to FY24 with our checks suggesting ~Rs 350 billion of bids expected to be awarded during early H1 FY24. During the year, hybrid annuity model continued to be its preferred mode of awarding with 75/31/3 projects awarded on HAM/engineering, procurement and construction/another basis.
Competitive intensity reduced towards the FY23 end as developers maintained calibrated aggression. Non-road players outperformed their inflow guidance, while road players need to catch up on missed guidance.
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