Indoco Remedies' revenues were lower on a YoY (~10.6%) & QoQ (~5.1%) basis due to underperformance in the regulated market sales, led by ongoing remediation efforts post U.S. Food and Drug Administration warning letter for its Goa Plant II, and refurbishment of existing plants under master manufacturing plan, affecting US, Europe and Emerging Markets sales.
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Systematix Research Report
Indoco Remedies Ltd.’s Q3 FY25 revenue came higher than our expectations, while margins and net earnings were moderately lower than our estimates. Revenues were lower on a YoY (~10.6%) & QoQ (~5.1%) basis due to underperformance in the regulated market sales, led by ongoing remediation efforts post U.S. Food and Drug Administration warning letter for its Goa Plant II, and refurbishment of existing plants under master manufacturing plan, affecting US, Europe and Emerging Markets sales.
Margins were lower due to higher-than-expected other expenses and employee cost margin. US sales were lower 41% YoY. Domestic branded formulation sales growth was 16.5% YoY and above expectations. Emerging markets reported de-growth during the quarter (~36% YoY). Exports to South Africa, New Zealand and Australia declined 54% YoY.
Given that negative operating leverage and elevated interest expense have adversely impacted net profit and the remediation efforts are still underway, we revise our valuation approach from P/E to EV/ Ebitda. We maintain a Hold rating on Indoco with a target price of 325 based on 13X FY27 EV/Ebitda.
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