ICICI Bank is best placed across key metrics including CoF, advances growth, profitability ratios (RoA/RoE), capital comfort, and provision buffers amongst large private banks. It has the highest RoE amongst large private banks and no immediate capital requirement. Asset Quality metrics are superior with NNPA at 0.4%, 77% PCR, and industry best contingent provision buffers at ~90 bps of advances.
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Dolat Capital Report
ICICI Bank Ltd. reported a robust quarter with low credit costs (sub 30 bps), contained opex, and steady net interest margin aiding an 18% YoY PAT growth and RoA of 2.5%. Margins at 4.4% (+16 bps QoQ) mainly benefited from the impact of fewer days in Q4, with largely stable calculated NIM (ex of KCC int reversals and interest on IT refund).
Deposit growth strengthened to 6% QoQ/14% YoY, with slightly muted loan growth at 2% (13% YoY) owing to price consciousness in a declining rate environment. Asset quality metrics continued to show strength, with 30 bps decline in GNPA% QoQ. The impact of rate cut on EBLR loans (53% mix) is expected to be visible in Q1 FY26, though some of this will be offset by recent SA rate cuts (25 bps).
We tweak estimates and maintain ‘Buy’ rating with SOTP-based target price of Rs 1680, valuing the standalone bank at 2.9x FY27E price/adjusted book value (from 2.8x earlier) against RoA/RoE of 2.1%/16%.
We expect the bank to continue attracting a valuation premium vs peers led by its superior credit costs, healthy growth and higher profitability ratios (RoA/RoE).
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