Post the fund raise, the brokerage builds in a pick up in loan growth from 8.9%/11.5% for FY26E/FY27E earlier to 10%/12% respectively. Nirmal Bang's loan growth estimate for FY28E remains unchanged at 14.2%.
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Nirmal Bang Report
Federal Bank Ltd. has issued 273 million warrants at a price of Rs 227, aggregating Rs 62 billion to Asia II Topco XIII Pte. Ltd, a Blackstone associate. These warrants are convertible into equity shares within a period of 18 months from the date of allotment.
Post exercise of these warrants into equity shares, these will represent 9.99% stake in the bank.
We have estimated the warrants to be converted into equity shares by FY26 end, which will result in 11.1% equity dilution and lead to an improvement of 280 bps in the CAR to 18.5% (from 15.7% in September 2025).
We turn positive on Federal Bank due to the following reasons:
Loan growth to pick up,
Strong patronage of depositors,
NIM to remain stable at 3.1%,
Visibly cleaner corporate book and low proportion of unsecured loans,
RoA drivers.
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Also Read: Kotak Mahindra Bank Q2 Review: Brokerages Signal Mixed Performance; Strong Loan Growth, NIM Pressure
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