Clean Science - Margin To Decline, Valuation Expensive: HDFC Securities

Valuations are contextually high at 41/36x FY25E/26E earnings per share.

Close-up of a technician using pipette testing a chemical solution in a R&D laboratory. (Source: Freepik)

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HDFC Securities Institutional Equities

We maintain 'Sell' on Clean Science and Technology Ltd. with a price target of Rs 1,026 (WACC 11%, terminal growth 6%), owing to-

  1. slower-than expected ramp-up in hindered amine light stabilisers

  2. entry of domestic competitor in mono methyl ether of hydroquinone manufacturing; and

  3. lower offtake of performance chemicals.

Gross profit margin and Ebitda margin are expected to fall by 520/340 basis points by FY26 from 65/43% in FY23. Global giants are augmenting the capacities of HALS and intermediates of HALS.

Vinati Organics Ltd. plant to manufacture MEHQ is expected to commence production by FY24-end. Vinati Organics is using a process similar to the process being used by Clean Science, which has given Clean Science a competitive advantage.

Ebitda and profit after tax shall grow at a 13/11% compound annual growth rate over FY23-26E.

The return on equity is expected to decline from 33.2% in FY23 to 23.9% in FY26E, owing to a reduction in margin and asset turnover.

Valuations are contextually high at 41/36 times FY25E/26E earnings per share.

Click on the attachment to read the full report:

HDFC Securities Institutional Equities Clean Science Company Update.pdf
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