Cipla remains confident about its FY26 growth trajectory, focusing on accelerating execution and new product launches across key markets. In North America, the company aims to ramp up commercial performance through portfolio expansion, while in South Africa, the next two quarters are critical for margin improvement.
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We expect Cipla Ltd. to deliver stable growth across key markets. In North America, new launches like gAbraxane and the recently launched Filgrastim (Cipla's first US biosimilar ) are likely to support performance. Existing products such as gAlbuterol are scaling up well, with Cipla having supplied over 50 Mn inhaler units since launch.
Lanreotide has reached a 22% market share and is gradually progressing toward its target. The contribution from gRevlimid is now expected to be virtually nil to very marginal in Q3 FY26, as its role is offset by the pipeline ramp-up.
Cipla’s upcoming US pipeline remains strong, with key launches lined up for H2 FY26, including generic Advair in Q4 FY26 and generic Symbicort in FY27 (as part of multiple respiratory and inhalation products).
The company is strategically positioned with its first US biosimilar launch and is investing in its long-term pipeline, targeting assets like complex generics and peptides.
Recommendation:
In the Indian market, growth is expected to stay in line with the pharma industry average of around 8% to 9%. This is supported by the strategic entry into obesity care with the launch of Yurpeak (Tirzepatide).
The South African business continues to perform well, driven by strong demand in the private and OTC segments, though the next two quarters are critical for execution towards margin expansion.
We remain positive on the stock with a Buy rating and arrive at a target price of Rs 1,700/share.
Key risks to our estimates and target price-
- The U.S. FDA inspection and issuing of warning letter/official action indicated or 483 observations may impact the revenue growth. 
- Entry of new players may increase pricing pressure in the injectable portfolio. 
- Delay in launching Biosimilars in the market. 
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