Over the last five years, AU Small Finance Bank stock has traded at a mean P/ABV multiple of ~4x on a oneyear forward basis. However, it has delivered negligible returns, primarily due to a significant de-rating of multiples. Further, the bank delivered 20% BV CAGR during the same period. Currently, the stock is trading at a deeply discounted level of mean minus 2SD, reflecting overly pessimistic market sentiment.
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Centrum Broking Report
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd.'s results exceeded our expectations, driven by strong cost control and a sequential improvement of over 600bps in provision coverage. Looking ahead, we expect AU SFB to deliver robust book value growth of 18% CAGR over FY25–FY27E, alongside an attractive return profile with RoA expected to reach 1.85% by FY27.
Our positive outlook is supported by multiple factors:
Merger synergies: The integration of Fincare is already translating into tangible benefits, as reflected in the disciplined growth of operating expenses;
Cross-sell potential: Management has articulated a clear long-term strategy to leverage cross-selling opportunities arising from the merger;
Asset quality improvement: The pressure from the unsecured portfolio is easing, with early signs of a recovery in the MFI cycle (turnaround expected from Q2 FY26) and the CGFMU cover providing a buffer against future MFI-related credit costs.
Moreover, the scaling down of the credit card portfolio has further reduced asset quality risks. We reiterate our Buy rating on AU SFB with a revised target price of Rs 772 (earlier Rs 748)
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