"The merger will go through whether I'm CEO or not," Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd.'s Punit Goenka said this in an interview to two business dailies on Thursday.
Zee-Sony Merger: Scenario 1
Goenka's statements indicate that he's confident that the merger will sail through. Sony hasn't indicated otherwise either, except to say it's monitoring the regulatory developments closely.
In which case, one scenario could be changes to the scheme of arrangement, in which a key clause says that Goenka will be the managing director and chief executive officer of the merged entity for five years, from the day the deal becomes effective.
This could mean going back to the shareholders, creditors and regulators for approval.
The clause is framed as an integral part of the scheme, says Rajat Sethi, partner at S&R Associates. "It'll be a material amendment to the scheme."
It will set the clock back on shareholder, creditor approval. Perhaps, even the exchanges and SEBI. Timing, of course, will be critical. If the parties lose time, greater the risk of other parties coming in with a bid or objectors seeking to press further.Rajat Sethi, Partner, S&R Associates
This scenario could also result in changes to the deal commercials; two key clauses in particular.
One, that allows Zee's promoters to increase their shareholding from the current 4% to 20%. According to the scheme, Goenka as the managing director of the merged entity will get "consultative rights" on certain matters, as long as Essel Group promoters/affiliates have a 1% shareholding in it. "This may need to be amended if they will no longer have MD position," Sethi said.
Two, the non-compete fee of Rs 1,100 crore to Subhash Chandra. According to the scheme, Essel Mauritius—an Essel Group entity—will receive a non-compete fee of Rs 1,100 crore from Sony Group entity, SPE Mauritius. If Goenka agrees to not being the managing director in the merged entity, this figure may be renegotiated.
Either way, if the change to the scheme and the commercials are made, Zee will have to approach the NCLT with a request to do so.
Zee-Sony Merger: Scenario 2
The other possibility is that Goenka decides to litigate against the SEBI proceedings till the end, and Sony is willing to wait.
Sethi said that since the clause providing for Goenka to be at the helm of the merged entity is an important part of the deal, he would want to take the investigations against him to their logical conclusion before giving up.
For Sony, the target is a priced asset. They will do whatever it takes to conclude the transaction. I believe as a sophisticated party, it's safe to assume that Sony hasn't been blindsided. Not specifically the directions against Goenka which have now come, but Sony would have expected the merger to be an intense process.Rajat Sethi, Partner, S&R Associates
According to another M&A lawyer, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, Sony would have accounted for some of these facts in the valuation when it did the due diligence. The acquirer values the business and its potential; not cash that is with the target or that may have gone out of it. This lawyer, too, expects the clause pertaining to Goenka to be the only way to save the deal.
Goenka is yet to respond to BQ Prime's request for a comment on the two scenarios.
Watch the full interview with Sethi here:
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