T20 World Cup Super 8 Qualification Scenario: How Can Pakistan, NZ, Sri Lanka Qualify For Semi-Finals?

With England through to the last four, Pakistan, New Zealand and Sri Lanka remain locked in a battle for the other semi-final spot from Group 2.

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England became the first team to qualify for the semi-finals of the ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2026 after defeating Pakistan in their Super 8 clash on Tuesday. The win took England to four points from two matches and ensured they retained the top spot in Group 2.

With England sealing their place in the semi-finals, the race for the remaining knockout berth from Group 2 has narrowed to a triangular battle. Pakistan, New Zealand and Sri Lanka are now locked in a tight contest for the one available semi-final spot from the group. With points, net run rate (NRR) and head-to-head results likely to come into play, the qualification equation is being closely watched by cricket fans.

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Here's How Each Team Can Still Reach The Last Four:

New Zealand: 1 point

New Zealand have one point after their match against Pakistan in Colombo was washed out on Saturday, Feb. 21. They now face Sri Lanka on Feb. 25 and England on Feb. 27. A win in both the games will guarantee them a place in the semi-finals.

If New Zealand manage only one win, qualification could come down to a net run rate battle with Pakistan, who suffered a narrow loss to England on Feb. 24.

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A victory over Sri Lanka tonight would eliminate the tournament co-hosts. But if Sri Lanka win both their remaining matches, New Zealand would miss out.

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Pakistan: 1 point, NRR -0.461

Pakistan's loss to England, following the washout against New Zealand, means their fate is not in their own hands. If New Zealand defeat both Sri Lanka and England, Pakistan will be knocked out regardless of their result against Sri Lanka on Feb. 28.

Should New Zealand lose both matches, Pakistan would only need to beat Sri Lanka to progress to the next round. Even a single New Zealand loss would keep the door open for Pakistan, though it would then be decided by NRR.

Sri Lanka: 0 points, NRR -2.550

Sri Lanka suffered a heavy loss to England in their opening Super 8 fixture. With Pakistan and New Zealand both on one point, Sri Lanka's margin for error has narrowed considerably. They must win their remaining two Super 8 matches to stay in contention for a semi-final place.

Group 1 includes the other four teams in Super 8: India, South Africa, West Indies and Zimbabwe.

ALSO READ: T20 World Cup Super Eights Points Table: England Beat Pakistan, Becomes First Team To Qualify For Semis

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